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<p>[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1613767, member: 41665"]I've never read/heard anyone preaching "the hobby is crashing into oblivion" - but a few here allude to this. Reminds me of querrulous Paper-Bug rhetoric on financial forums, demanding investors "Sell Your Gold!" to "Buy US stocks NOW!" (As if Gold were to blame for stocks' poor decades' performance.) Problem is, <i>almost NO US INVESTORS own any Gold investments </i>... so it's a bizarre assumption that misses the fundamental point: that retail play-dough of the gaga 80s-90s is lost. It's a Paper-Ploy of look elsewhere, blame something else, spin lies/make-believe. Whatever we do, we cannot admit <i>investor exhaustion</i>, the end of the paved road, or anything like grossly overvalued Paper equities lol The Peak is in, for US coins likewise: charts show!</p><p><br /></p><p>But look at the median age of the average collector spending $100./mo (or whatever) inflation & wage-adjusted across three decades. If that avg collector is getting a year older every year (for example) then there's an obvious replacement problem. Remove the inordinate fixation on rich collectors, and the demographic reality of the middle mkt becomes glaringly apparent. Numbers I've seen suggest an average Age 60+ for serious collectors: that's almost geriatric. </p><p><br /></p><p>Compare & contrast the younger demographic crisis facing Harley-Davidson, as explained here. <a href="http://wmoon.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/u-s-birthrate-1909-2003.png" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://wmoon.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/u-s-birthrate-1909-2003.png" rel="nofollow">http://wmoon.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/u-s-birthrate-1909-2003.png</a></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>No it's not same-same but it's a similar bell-wether. A scary-big 'older old collector' segment dominating the current US coin mkt only insures liquidations sooner rather than later. To "oblivion" NO but YES the seeds of this demographic crisis were sown decades ago. </p><p><br /></p><p>Sure, coins will always be 'worth something' but what? Alot less than most here are willing to admit. (Of denial: I'd agree if they're <i>dead and wrong</i> it won't matter to them anyway.)[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Juan Blanco, post: 1613767, member: 41665"]I've never read/heard anyone preaching "the hobby is crashing into oblivion" - but a few here allude to this. Reminds me of querrulous Paper-Bug rhetoric on financial forums, demanding investors "Sell Your Gold!" to "Buy US stocks NOW!" (As if Gold were to blame for stocks' poor decades' performance.) Problem is, [I]almost NO US INVESTORS own any Gold investments [/I]... so it's a bizarre assumption that misses the fundamental point: that retail play-dough of the gaga 80s-90s is lost. It's a Paper-Ploy of look elsewhere, blame something else, spin lies/make-believe. Whatever we do, we cannot admit [I]investor exhaustion[/I], the end of the paved road, or anything like grossly overvalued Paper equities lol The Peak is in, for US coins likewise: charts show! But look at the median age of the average collector spending $100./mo (or whatever) inflation & wage-adjusted across three decades. If that avg collector is getting a year older every year (for example) then there's an obvious replacement problem. Remove the inordinate fixation on rich collectors, and the demographic reality of the middle mkt becomes glaringly apparent. Numbers I've seen suggest an average Age 60+ for serious collectors: that's almost geriatric. Compare & contrast the younger demographic crisis facing Harley-Davidson, as explained here. [URL]http://wmoon.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/u-s-birthrate-1909-2003.png[/URL] No it's not same-same but it's a similar bell-wether. A scary-big 'older old collector' segment dominating the current US coin mkt only insures liquidations sooner rather than later. To "oblivion" NO but YES the seeds of this demographic crisis were sown decades ago. Sure, coins will always be 'worth something' but what? Alot less than most here are willing to admit. (Of denial: I'd agree if they're [I]dead and wrong[/I] it won't matter to them anyway.)[/QUOTE]
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