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<p>[QUOTE="calcol, post: 22922073, member: 77639"]I have my doubts, but they make a go of it. It’s possible that CAC is just waving a flag to see who salutes and who spits. A few thoughts on it:</p><p><br /></p><p>1. Becoming a primary grader from scratch is a big investment with many pitfalls. There are a host of mechanical and administrative systems to set up: label generation and inspection, cracking, raw handling, slabbing, metal analysis, photography, sniffing, etc. None of these is needed for stickering. And, yeah, JA was involved with NGC and PCGS startups, but they were much smaller, simpler operations back in the day.</p><p><br /></p><p>2. PCGS and NGC have regarded CAC as a value-added service. Both services have added CAC sections to their registries. They commonly use pictures of their slabs with CAC stickers in their promotional materials or brag about their slabbed coins that have stickers. They indicate in their auction prices realized section whether coins have a sticker. That will do a 180 if CAC becomes a primary grader. There are already reports that PCGS is avoiding using pictures of their slabs with CAC stickers in their promotional materials. They either use a picture of the slab before it was stickered or perhaps photoshop the sticker out.</p><p><br /></p><p>3. It’s tougher to be a primary grader than a secondary. When CAC receives a coin now, they can be a little relaxed about some aspects like authenticity, toning, residues, subtle varieties, metal content and a few other things, and just concentrate on the grade. There is probably a lot of trust (rightfully so) in the ability of PCGS and NGC to ferret-out problems.</p><p><br /></p><p>4. CAC will make obvious mistakes as a primary grader just like NGC and PCGS do. As a startup, they may make more. These may be just mechanical like inaccurate labels but could involve issues mentioned in #3 above. As it is now, their mistakes, if they can even be called mistakes, are completely subjective. Whether a coin is solid for the grade is strictly a matter of opinion. They’ll have to deal with more objective mistakes as a primary grader.</p><p><br /></p><p>5. PCGS and NGC are big companies. They have a lot of influence in the industry, including with the coin press, dealers, auction companies and non-profit institutions. They will do everything legal and ethical to compete with a newcomer viewed as a threat. However, “ethical” is a sliding scale. Is persuading an auction company not to mention whether a coin has a sticker or only use pictures that don’t show stickers unethical? Coins sent in for regrading/reconsideration will always (even if grade does not change) be put in a new slab with a new number, thereby nullifying CAC status. When CAC announces prices, both PCGS and NGC may undercut them. And it’s possible that one or both companies together could underwrite a prestigious secondary grading company that could sticker CAC, NGC or PCGS slabs.</p><p><br /></p><p>6. Big growth areas of grading are world and modern coins. NGC and PCGS handle both now; CAC does neither. Will they start? If so, that will be an additional enormous startup task and expense.</p><p><br /></p><p>7. Collector perception of CAC may change if they become a primary grading company. If a collector has a slab from PCGS or NGC that also has a CAC sticker on it, they know two independent organizations have graded it and agreed on the grade. If it’s in a CAC slab, then only one group has decided its grade, and that may not be perceived as reliable as two groups. And yeah, PCGS or NGC could setup a stickering business for CAC slabs.</p><p><br /></p><p>Back in 2007 when CAC started, if PCGS and NGC had setup a service within each company to sticker the other service’s slabs, CAC may have died in infancy. If a collector had a PCGS slab with a NGC sticker or vice versa, there would be little motive to have yet a third company verify the grade. Instead, they introduced the unnecessary plus grades, which had no effect on CAC’s attractiveness to collectors … it was the second opinion that was the big deal.</p><p><br /></p><p>I’m a CAC member. Will I send in coins for grading or crossing? No chance until they prove themselves as primary graders. So, if other folks feel this way, what will happen?</p><p><br /></p><p>Cal[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="calcol, post: 22922073, member: 77639"]I have my doubts, but they make a go of it. It’s possible that CAC is just waving a flag to see who salutes and who spits. A few thoughts on it: 1. Becoming a primary grader from scratch is a big investment with many pitfalls. There are a host of mechanical and administrative systems to set up: label generation and inspection, cracking, raw handling, slabbing, metal analysis, photography, sniffing, etc. None of these is needed for stickering. And, yeah, JA was involved with NGC and PCGS startups, but they were much smaller, simpler operations back in the day. 2. PCGS and NGC have regarded CAC as a value-added service. Both services have added CAC sections to their registries. They commonly use pictures of their slabs with CAC stickers in their promotional materials or brag about their slabbed coins that have stickers. They indicate in their auction prices realized section whether coins have a sticker. That will do a 180 if CAC becomes a primary grader. There are already reports that PCGS is avoiding using pictures of their slabs with CAC stickers in their promotional materials. They either use a picture of the slab before it was stickered or perhaps photoshop the sticker out. 3. It’s tougher to be a primary grader than a secondary. When CAC receives a coin now, they can be a little relaxed about some aspects like authenticity, toning, residues, subtle varieties, metal content and a few other things, and just concentrate on the grade. There is probably a lot of trust (rightfully so) in the ability of PCGS and NGC to ferret-out problems. 4. CAC will make obvious mistakes as a primary grader just like NGC and PCGS do. As a startup, they may make more. These may be just mechanical like inaccurate labels but could involve issues mentioned in #3 above. As it is now, their mistakes, if they can even be called mistakes, are completely subjective. Whether a coin is solid for the grade is strictly a matter of opinion. They’ll have to deal with more objective mistakes as a primary grader. 5. PCGS and NGC are big companies. They have a lot of influence in the industry, including with the coin press, dealers, auction companies and non-profit institutions. They will do everything legal and ethical to compete with a newcomer viewed as a threat. However, “ethical” is a sliding scale. Is persuading an auction company not to mention whether a coin has a sticker or only use pictures that don’t show stickers unethical? Coins sent in for regrading/reconsideration will always (even if grade does not change) be put in a new slab with a new number, thereby nullifying CAC status. When CAC announces prices, both PCGS and NGC may undercut them. And it’s possible that one or both companies together could underwrite a prestigious secondary grading company that could sticker CAC, NGC or PCGS slabs. 6. Big growth areas of grading are world and modern coins. NGC and PCGS handle both now; CAC does neither. Will they start? If so, that will be an additional enormous startup task and expense. 7. Collector perception of CAC may change if they become a primary grading company. If a collector has a slab from PCGS or NGC that also has a CAC sticker on it, they know two independent organizations have graded it and agreed on the grade. If it’s in a CAC slab, then only one group has decided its grade, and that may not be perceived as reliable as two groups. And yeah, PCGS or NGC could setup a stickering business for CAC slabs. Back in 2007 when CAC started, if PCGS and NGC had setup a service within each company to sticker the other service’s slabs, CAC may have died in infancy. If a collector had a PCGS slab with a NGC sticker or vice versa, there would be little motive to have yet a third company verify the grade. Instead, they introduced the unnecessary plus grades, which had no effect on CAC’s attractiveness to collectors … it was the second opinion that was the big deal. I’m a CAC member. Will I send in coins for grading or crossing? No chance until they prove themselves as primary graders. So, if other folks feel this way, what will happen? Cal[/QUOTE]
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