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Why is Morgan Dollar numismatic value dropping?
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<p>[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 4030777, member: 73489"]But we didn't have the bubbles of the 1970's and 1980's in previous decades. The untethering of gold and the international monetary system led to a 20-fold rise in the price of gold and silver. That is unheard of.</p><p><br /></p><p>Bear markets ARE usually shorter than bull markets -- mostly because fear is a stronger emotion than greed (Fear won an armwrestling contest <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /> ). It takes time to wring out the emotion that led to the bubble.</p><p><br /></p><p>Ultimately, this is a supply and demand issue wrapped around the price of the metal. Dealers and the hobby can't control the price of gold or silver, but dealers should be able to give good evidence of demand for coins now relative to 10 or 15 or 20 years ago. If an LCS used to sell 50 Morgans a week for both numismatic and bullion appeal and today only sells 20...well...multiply that by thousands and you explain alot of price weakness.</p><p><br /></p><p>I focus on the macro for coins because I am not an expert on the micro like vets like you, Doug. It would be good to hear honest opions from veteran dealers about supply and demand trends over the years -- and NOT from folks talking their book.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 4030777, member: 73489"]But we didn't have the bubbles of the 1970's and 1980's in previous decades. The untethering of gold and the international monetary system led to a 20-fold rise in the price of gold and silver. That is unheard of. Bear markets ARE usually shorter than bull markets -- mostly because fear is a stronger emotion than greed (Fear won an armwrestling contest :D ). It takes time to wring out the emotion that led to the bubble. Ultimately, this is a supply and demand issue wrapped around the price of the metal. Dealers and the hobby can't control the price of gold or silver, but dealers should be able to give good evidence of demand for coins now relative to 10 or 15 or 20 years ago. If an LCS used to sell 50 Morgans a week for both numismatic and bullion appeal and today only sells 20...well...multiply that by thousands and you explain alot of price weakness. I focus on the macro for coins because I am not an expert on the micro like vets like you, Doug. It would be good to hear honest opions from veteran dealers about supply and demand trends over the years -- and NOT from folks talking their book.[/QUOTE]
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Why is Morgan Dollar numismatic value dropping?
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