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Message:: [QUOTE="crypto79, post: 950938, member: 24254"]The first paragraph was one of the best I have read on this forum but he kind of lost me on the second. At the end of the day supply and demand is the index that moves all pricing points and with any 20th Cen series you have a large collector base but an almost inexhaustible supply. The original poster brought up Peace dollars which most dealers will tell you perform better in a down market when avg collector are priced out of other series. That being said there are no real keys and with the exception of a VAM crossing over and becoming a main stream variety (like the 34d DDO small MM which just got added to the Redbook) the supply and demand would remain static. Moderns are fun but too common to skyrocket. Franklin halves are already overpriced due to the full bell line phenom. Half Dimes are rare & cool but too small for the people that can afford them to see(been to a show lately, it isn't packed with college kids). If anything the people/speculators are looking for the next Barber Half and one of those might not come up for another 20years but when it does it won't be a mainstream set that is already heavily collected or uncompletable. My guess would be Trade Dollars as they are rare, currently not very popular, full of varieties but still more or less a set can be completed and kind of cheep in the lower grades. At current supply levels it would take at least 100 new collectors to really raise prices and I don't see that happening anytime soon due to the fear of fakes and the fact that they can be hard to locate due to a slim dealer base. That series is an example of what it would take, if you applied the rule to Jeffersons it would take 1000's of new collector to exhaust current supply levels enough to raise prices.[/QUOTE]

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