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<p>[QUOTE="kirispupis, post: 8194438, member: 118780"]Interestingly, a quick search on this forum brought up another <a href="https://www.cointalk.com/threads/ebay-risk-of-a-fake.327533/" class="internalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="https://www.cointalk.com/threads/ebay-risk-of-a-fake.327533/">post </a>where someone attempted to quantify the percentage of fakes. </p><p><br /></p><p>For Denarii, the number was about 20%. </p><p>Sestertii were 20%</p><p>Athenian owls were 40-60%</p><p>Aeginata turtles and Julius Caesar were 40-60%</p><p><br /></p><p>A quick search for "Alexander the Great tetradrachm" puts it in the 40-60% category too. I also suspect that the poster didn't go through <a href="http://www.forgerynetwork.com/default.aspx" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.forgerynetwork.com/default.aspx" rel="nofollow">Forgery Network</a> and <a href="https://www.forumancientcoins.com/fakes/" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="https://www.forumancientcoins.com/fakes/" rel="nofollow">Fake Coin Reports</a> for each one, meaning that the percentages are more likely to be underestimated. Note that it's pretty easy to corroborate these rough numbers by performing a cursory search for a specific coin.</p><p><br /></p><p>Of course, these are just the <i>fakes</i> (and obvious ones). It doesn't include misattributed coins or coins priced way above what they should.</p><p><br /></p><p>So, are the <u>majority</u> fakes? That depends. Since I tend to buy Greek silver, that's a "yes". For those looking at Roman coinage not from Julius Caesar, it's lower.</p><p><br /></p><p>What is true is that your quote of <5% is <i>way</i> off. Of course, if one wants the odds, given a coin at random that it's a) real and b) correctly attributed and c) priced correctly, then I would agree that it's well below 5%.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="kirispupis, post: 8194438, member: 118780"]Interestingly, a quick search on this forum brought up another [URL='https://www.cointalk.com/threads/ebay-risk-of-a-fake.327533/']post [/URL]where someone attempted to quantify the percentage of fakes. For Denarii, the number was about 20%. Sestertii were 20% Athenian owls were 40-60% Aeginata turtles and Julius Caesar were 40-60% A quick search for "Alexander the Great tetradrachm" puts it in the 40-60% category too. I also suspect that the poster didn't go through [URL='http://www.forgerynetwork.com/default.aspx']Forgery Network[/URL] and [URL='https://www.forumancientcoins.com/fakes/']Fake Coin Reports[/URL] for each one, meaning that the percentages are more likely to be underestimated. Note that it's pretty easy to corroborate these rough numbers by performing a cursory search for a specific coin. Of course, these are just the [I]fakes[/I] (and obvious ones). It doesn't include misattributed coins or coins priced way above what they should. So, are the [U]majority[/U] fakes? That depends. Since I tend to buy Greek silver, that's a "yes". For those looking at Roman coinage not from Julius Caesar, it's lower. What is true is that your quote of <5% is [I]way[/I] off. Of course, if one wants the odds, given a coin at random that it's a) real and b) correctly attributed and c) priced correctly, then I would agree that it's well below 5%.[/QUOTE]
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