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What would happen if the world returned to the gold standard?
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<p>[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 25367051, member: 73489"]Not likely....<span style="color: #00b359"><b>almost without exception.</b> </span><img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>If you had the next 30 years of returns...rolling time periods (to eliminate timing bias)....I would guess that stocks would win 27 or 28 times AT LEAST and maybe even 29 or 30 times. On a shorter basis -- rolling 20 year or even 10-year periods -- stocks would probably win 85-90% or more of the time.</p><p><br /></p><p>Gold or any PM or commodity simply can't match real participation and growth in a growing economy with a dividend yield to boot. It's like 2 sprinters in a 100-meter race and one of them starts 20 meters ahead.<img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p>Speculation is not the same thing as short-term investing. Even short-term stock investors, if long over enough periods, would do OK.</p><p>Agreed.</p><p><br /></p><p>Again....this is a HOBBY we do for enjoyment, not investment returns. If someone wants to take advantage of a doubling in the price of gold the next 10 years, then pure bullion or even numimsatics at a low-premium to gold (i.e., MS-63 or MS-65 generic gold coins like Saints) should do OK. May lag or outperform, but will keep you in the ballgame.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 25367051, member: 73489"]Not likely....[COLOR=#00b359][B]almost without exception.[/B] [/COLOR]:D If you had the next 30 years of returns...rolling time periods (to eliminate timing bias)....I would guess that stocks would win 27 or 28 times AT LEAST and maybe even 29 or 30 times. On a shorter basis -- rolling 20 year or even 10-year periods -- stocks would probably win 85-90% or more of the time. Gold or any PM or commodity simply can't match real participation and growth in a growing economy with a dividend yield to boot. It's like 2 sprinters in a 100-meter race and one of them starts 20 meters ahead.:D Speculation is not the same thing as short-term investing. Even short-term stock investors, if long over enough periods, would do OK. Agreed. Again....this is a HOBBY we do for enjoyment, not investment returns. If someone wants to take advantage of a doubling in the price of gold the next 10 years, then pure bullion or even numimsatics at a low-premium to gold (i.e., MS-63 or MS-65 generic gold coins like Saints) should do OK. May lag or outperform, but will keep you in the ballgame.[/QUOTE]
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