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<p>[QUOTE="Troodon, post: 1636272, member: 4626"]Or you're drastically <i>over</i>estimating it. It could be that the ATB series will be <i>less</i> popular than the state quarters. When the state quarters were running, tons of people who didn't even consider themselves coin collectors knew about them and were saving them. Now most people I meet just don't care anymore or even know about the ATB quarters. The rotating reverses were a novelty in 1999. 14 years later people have got used to the idea and they're just not a novelty anymore. I just don't see an S being on the front bringing that much a premium long term, not when there's millions of them out there, and only distributed through direct sales to collectors, the only people likely to care (there's just not that much potential growth when the only people who want them already have them).</p><p><br /></p><p>They'd have to double in value for you to even break even on them. Maybe the fad will let you cash out if you don't wait too long. But in the long term I can't see these ever becoming hugely valuable. I honestly think if anything, future demand will be <i>less</i> than it is right now, not more. It's already happened to the state quarters. Happened to the bicentennials too. How valuable are those now, almost 40 years later? Buy them if you like but it seems like a sucker's bet to me. Several people I know have used the "small gamble for a potential big payoff" reasoning to justify buying lottery tickets. None of them are millionaires. "Small gamble for a potential big payoff" isn't an investment strategy; it's just wishful thinking. Current hype is not a good indicator of future demand (in fact it's usually a good indicator that the demand will go down when the hype fades away).</p><p><br /></p><p>P.S. I've already found some S-minted business strike ATB quarters <i>in circulation</i>. Seems some collectors are giving up on them already lol...[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Troodon, post: 1636272, member: 4626"]Or you're drastically [I]over[/I]estimating it. It could be that the ATB series will be [I]less[/I] popular than the state quarters. When the state quarters were running, tons of people who didn't even consider themselves coin collectors knew about them and were saving them. Now most people I meet just don't care anymore or even know about the ATB quarters. The rotating reverses were a novelty in 1999. 14 years later people have got used to the idea and they're just not a novelty anymore. I just don't see an S being on the front bringing that much a premium long term, not when there's millions of them out there, and only distributed through direct sales to collectors, the only people likely to care (there's just not that much potential growth when the only people who want them already have them). They'd have to double in value for you to even break even on them. Maybe the fad will let you cash out if you don't wait too long. But in the long term I can't see these ever becoming hugely valuable. I honestly think if anything, future demand will be [I]less[/I] than it is right now, not more. It's already happened to the state quarters. Happened to the bicentennials too. How valuable are those now, almost 40 years later? Buy them if you like but it seems like a sucker's bet to me. Several people I know have used the "small gamble for a potential big payoff" reasoning to justify buying lottery tickets. None of them are millionaires. "Small gamble for a potential big payoff" isn't an investment strategy; it's just wishful thinking. Current hype is not a good indicator of future demand (in fact it's usually a good indicator that the demand will go down when the hype fades away). P.S. I've already found some S-minted business strike ATB quarters [I]in circulation[/I]. Seems some collectors are giving up on them already lol...[/QUOTE]
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