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<p>[QUOTE="wxcoin, post: 4348950, member: 74624"]The main impact of the big reduction is air travel related to forecasting is in the accuracy of the numerical weather models. Many different types of observations are used as input to numerical weather forecasting models. Weather balloons are launched twice per day around the world and the data gathered are freely shared by all nations. In addition, add in surface, satellite, and data from commercial airlines as they travel worldwide. They fill in the gaps between the 12 hour balloon launches over land and over the oceans. Fewer flights result in fewer observations; especially over the oceans. Unfortunately, there have been news stories about forecasts being less accurate because of the reduction of aircraft observations into the models; the satellite observations have not been impacted. Yes, there has been a negative impact on the accuracy of the weather forecast models; especially at longer time scales. However, the perception that the forecasts produced by these models are no good is wrong. In forecasts out to 5 days, I doubt the impact is significant.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="wxcoin, post: 4348950, member: 74624"]The main impact of the big reduction is air travel related to forecasting is in the accuracy of the numerical weather models. Many different types of observations are used as input to numerical weather forecasting models. Weather balloons are launched twice per day around the world and the data gathered are freely shared by all nations. In addition, add in surface, satellite, and data from commercial airlines as they travel worldwide. They fill in the gaps between the 12 hour balloon launches over land and over the oceans. Fewer flights result in fewer observations; especially over the oceans. Unfortunately, there have been news stories about forecasts being less accurate because of the reduction of aircraft observations into the models; the satellite observations have not been impacted. Yes, there has been a negative impact on the accuracy of the weather forecast models; especially at longer time scales. However, the perception that the forecasts produced by these models are no good is wrong. In forecasts out to 5 days, I doubt the impact is significant.[/QUOTE]
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