Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
US Coins Forum
>
Video on Liberty Head Double eagles (Gold!)
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 26052878, member: 73489"]<b><font size="5"><span style="color: #b30000">Liberty Head Double Eagle Population Census:</span></font></b> I went back to Bower's DE Red Book and summed up both the LOW and HIGH estimates (from 2004 !) for Liberty Head survivors, both certified, raw, and still presumably undiscovered or hidden (the "Field" population as it was called in the book).</p><p><br /></p><p><b>For the 3 Types and totals for both the Low and High estimates:</b></p><p><br /></p><p>66,613…117,296……4,124,182 = 4,308,091 (Bowers DE Book/lower range)</p><p><br /></p><p>101,783….178,612…..6,148,479 = 6,428,874 (Bowers DE Book/upper range)</p><p><br /></p><p>So...a bit higher than the Saint-Gaudens survivor estimate in Roger's book at the low end, but about 60% above if you use the high guestimate.</p><p><br /></p><p><i>Now...PCGS Coin Facts has a Survival Estimate function which is a guestimate by 1 or more "experts." </i>I don't know how much time they spent on it or what their methodology was or when they did the estimate (2024 or 2014 or even earlier, though I assume it was somewhat recent). But it's something to compare.</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway...adding up all the different Liberty Head regular strikes...I came up with a total of 3,149,267. That is appreciably BELOW even the lower-limit of Bowers estimate made 20 years ago. What number each would give today (assuming the PCGS CF estimate is dated) I have no way of knowing, given what has come out since the Bowers DE book and given recent hoards/finds, including Fairmont.</p><p><br /></p><p><b><i>Thoughts ?</i></b>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 26052878, member: 73489"][B][SIZE=5][COLOR=#b30000]Liberty Head Double Eagle Population Census:[/COLOR][/SIZE][/B] I went back to Bower's DE Red Book and summed up both the LOW and HIGH estimates (from 2004 !) for Liberty Head survivors, both certified, raw, and still presumably undiscovered or hidden (the "Field" population as it was called in the book). [B]For the 3 Types and totals for both the Low and High estimates:[/B] 66,613…117,296……4,124,182 = 4,308,091 (Bowers DE Book/lower range) 101,783….178,612…..6,148,479 = 6,428,874 (Bowers DE Book/upper range) So...a bit higher than the Saint-Gaudens survivor estimate in Roger's book at the low end, but about 60% above if you use the high guestimate. [I]Now...PCGS Coin Facts has a Survival Estimate function which is a guestimate by 1 or more "experts." [/I]I don't know how much time they spent on it or what their methodology was or when they did the estimate (2024 or 2014 or even earlier, though I assume it was somewhat recent). But it's something to compare. Anyway...adding up all the different Liberty Head regular strikes...I came up with a total of 3,149,267. That is appreciably BELOW even the lower-limit of Bowers estimate made 20 years ago. What number each would give today (assuming the PCGS CF estimate is dated) I have no way of knowing, given what has come out since the Bowers DE book and given recent hoards/finds, including Fairmont. [B][I]Thoughts ?[/I][/B][/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
US Coins Forum
>
Video on Liberty Head Double eagles (Gold!)
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...