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<p>[QUOTE="900fine, post: 729535, member: 6036"]I feel it's more accurate to say the vast majority of slabbed coins will be over-graded <i><u>or correctly graded</u></i>... only a small portion will be undergraded.</p><p><br /></p><p>And that's where we're at right now.</p><p> </p><p>One of the things working against the OP theory is that submitting is expensive. Most coins don't warrant being slabbed at all, and a great many more don't warrant multiple slabbing attempts.</p><p> </p><p><b>For the vast majority of coins, it just doesn't make sense to resubmit more than once, if at all.</b> The cost of each attempt <i>viz</i> the added sales price of the next grade up <i>viz</i> the odds of upgrade on each attempt simply don't add up for most coins; no one is continually submitting them to eventually get an upgrade.</p><p><br /></p><p>And if they are, they're taking a bath.</p><p> </p><p>Example - consider 1925-D $2.5 Indian sliders. It's a real crap shoot as to whether a given coin comes back <b>AU58</b> (about $230) or <b>MS61</b> (about $300). That's only a $70 difference vs $30 grading fees <i>plus</i> shipping fees <i>plus</i> time (important for flippers). Is it really worth gambling ? IMO - no... the odds just don't add up, unless you are very convinced it's undergraded (which is atypical).</p><p> </p><p>What's more, when one does get an upgrade, it's often "low end for the <new> grade". Many buyers recognize it as such, so such coins tend to trade on the low end of their grade scale, thus mitigating any upgrade gains.</p><p> </p><p>Now, I know there are <i>some</i> coins where continual resubmission might be worth it, and I know there are folks who do that. But those coins are the small minority.</p><p> </p><p>The OP said "a <i>majority</i> if not all of the coins will end up being over-graded" due to resubmission, and for the vast majority of issues / grade ranges, that's not so. It's economically infeasible to resubmit <i>ad infinitum</i>.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="900fine, post: 729535, member: 6036"]I feel it's more accurate to say the vast majority of slabbed coins will be over-graded [I][U]or correctly graded[/U][/I]... only a small portion will be undergraded. And that's where we're at right now. One of the things working against the OP theory is that submitting is expensive. Most coins don't warrant being slabbed at all, and a great many more don't warrant multiple slabbing attempts. [B]For the vast majority of coins, it just doesn't make sense to resubmit more than once, if at all.[/B] The cost of each attempt [I]viz[/I] the added sales price of the next grade up [I]viz[/I] the odds of upgrade on each attempt simply don't add up for most coins; no one is continually submitting them to eventually get an upgrade. And if they are, they're taking a bath. Example - consider 1925-D $2.5 Indian sliders. It's a real crap shoot as to whether a given coin comes back [B]AU58[/B] (about $230) or [B]MS61[/B] (about $300). That's only a $70 difference vs $30 grading fees [I]plus[/I] shipping fees [I]plus[/I] time (important for flippers). Is it really worth gambling ? IMO - no... the odds just don't add up, unless you are very convinced it's undergraded (which is atypical). What's more, when one does get an upgrade, it's often "low end for the <new> grade". Many buyers recognize it as such, so such coins tend to trade on the low end of their grade scale, thus mitigating any upgrade gains. Now, I know there are [I]some[/I] coins where continual resubmission might be worth it, and I know there are folks who do that. But those coins are the small minority. The OP said "a [I]majority[/I] if not all of the coins will end up being over-graded" due to resubmission, and for the vast majority of issues / grade ranges, that's not so. It's economically infeasible to resubmit [I]ad infinitum[/I].[/QUOTE]
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TPGs, grading and the logical progression of slabbing
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