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<p>[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 1417454, member: 15309"]That is part of the correct answer Doug. However, I would not limit it simply to coin forums although they are a huge part of it. I credit the explosion of the toned coin market to two separate factors. The first is the internet. As you have pointed out, the coin forums & registries provided an avenue for collectors to show off their collections and spread the popularity. But without E-Bay, Heritage, and the other coin auction websites, there would have been no way for collectors to obtain these coins. Prior to the internet, collectors were limited to buying coins from their local dealer. The internet made every dealer in the world a local dealer.</p><p><br /></p><p>The second factor and equally important is the advent of digital photography. Without the ability to take quick and easy photographs, the collectors would not be able to share their toned coins on the forums, and the E-Bay sellers would not be able to sell their toned coins on the internet. Both factors are related to technology which once discovered are not going away.</p><p><br /></p><p>The end result is that these two advancements in technology dramatically increased the demand for rainbow toned coins which in turn caused the prices to rise. At the time, there were plenty of raw rainbow toned coins languishing in the hidden cases of every B&M dealer in the country. The display cases were full of freshly dipped white material which is what sold back then. Photography & the internet liberated rainbow toned coins and brought them to the masses. It was not some passing fad that made them popular. The fact is that most newbie collectors have never seen a rainbow toned coin. And when they see their first rainbow toned coin they usually have one of two reactions. The first is to be awed by the beauty of rainbow toned coins and immediately become a fan. The second reaction is to view them as a deviation from what they are used to and what they think coins should be, therefore they dislike toned coins. Over time, as these newbie collectors gain more knowledge and experience, they gradually come to appreciate the virtues of toning. These are the collectors who are compared to newbie wine drinkers who prefer simple whites like Chardonnay and Pinot Grigio while resisting the complex reds. But over time, just as the wine drinkers graduate to reds, so do white coin collectors graduate to appreciate toned coins.</p><p><br /></p><p>So we have established that the demand for these coins has increased dramatically over the last decade and that it will only continue to rise, albeit not nearly at the same rate. Therefore, the only threat to toned coin prices is the supply. I submit that the supply of toned coins can only be drastically affected by one factor, artificial toning. However, I take an alternate view as to what would happen if the technology advanced to the stage that anyone could create an AT coin realistic enough to fool the TPG's. The result would be that the TPG's would stop slabbing toned coins all together, making the supply of certified rainbow toned coins fixed. While some collectors might write off toned coins all together, I think that most toning enthusiasts would be left fighting over the finite supply of toned coins already encapsulated by the TPG's. What others predict will cause the collapse of the toned coin market I think may actually cause prices to rise.</p><p><br /></p><p>What really bothers me about this subject is that the large majority of people who state that toned coins are a fad do so without ever providing reasons or evidence to support their "shoot from the hip" conclusion. I have now provided a detailed explanation to my theory about what caused the rise of the rainbow toned coin market and the future stability of that market. Perhaps the toning fad guys could return the favor. In the immortal words of Bart Scott, "CAN'T WAIT!"[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 1417454, member: 15309"]That is part of the correct answer Doug. However, I would not limit it simply to coin forums although they are a huge part of it. I credit the explosion of the toned coin market to two separate factors. The first is the internet. As you have pointed out, the coin forums & registries provided an avenue for collectors to show off their collections and spread the popularity. But without E-Bay, Heritage, and the other coin auction websites, there would have been no way for collectors to obtain these coins. Prior to the internet, collectors were limited to buying coins from their local dealer. The internet made every dealer in the world a local dealer. The second factor and equally important is the advent of digital photography. Without the ability to take quick and easy photographs, the collectors would not be able to share their toned coins on the forums, and the E-Bay sellers would not be able to sell their toned coins on the internet. Both factors are related to technology which once discovered are not going away. The end result is that these two advancements in technology dramatically increased the demand for rainbow toned coins which in turn caused the prices to rise. At the time, there were plenty of raw rainbow toned coins languishing in the hidden cases of every B&M dealer in the country. The display cases were full of freshly dipped white material which is what sold back then. Photography & the internet liberated rainbow toned coins and brought them to the masses. It was not some passing fad that made them popular. The fact is that most newbie collectors have never seen a rainbow toned coin. And when they see their first rainbow toned coin they usually have one of two reactions. The first is to be awed by the beauty of rainbow toned coins and immediately become a fan. The second reaction is to view them as a deviation from what they are used to and what they think coins should be, therefore they dislike toned coins. Over time, as these newbie collectors gain more knowledge and experience, they gradually come to appreciate the virtues of toning. These are the collectors who are compared to newbie wine drinkers who prefer simple whites like Chardonnay and Pinot Grigio while resisting the complex reds. But over time, just as the wine drinkers graduate to reds, so do white coin collectors graduate to appreciate toned coins. So we have established that the demand for these coins has increased dramatically over the last decade and that it will only continue to rise, albeit not nearly at the same rate. Therefore, the only threat to toned coin prices is the supply. I submit that the supply of toned coins can only be drastically affected by one factor, artificial toning. However, I take an alternate view as to what would happen if the technology advanced to the stage that anyone could create an AT coin realistic enough to fool the TPG's. The result would be that the TPG's would stop slabbing toned coins all together, making the supply of certified rainbow toned coins fixed. While some collectors might write off toned coins all together, I think that most toning enthusiasts would be left fighting over the finite supply of toned coins already encapsulated by the TPG's. What others predict will cause the collapse of the toned coin market I think may actually cause prices to rise. What really bothers me about this subject is that the large majority of people who state that toned coins are a fad do so without ever providing reasons or evidence to support their "shoot from the hip" conclusion. I have now provided a detailed explanation to my theory about what caused the rise of the rainbow toned coin market and the future stability of that market. Perhaps the toning fad guys could return the favor. In the immortal words of Bart Scott, "CAN'T WAIT!"[/QUOTE]
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