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<p>[QUOTE="rld14, post: 519049, member: 16133"]I don't think we've seen anything yet.</p><p><br /></p><p>But it's starting.</p><p><br /></p><p>When real estate crashed, when this downturn started some segments stayed hot and are still hot, some crashed early, others took a while. In the early stages a lot of sellers wouldn't accept that prices were coming down and held their asking prices, all of a sudden their property just did not sell.</p><p><br /></p><p>Look at some segments, some coins just aren't selling, some are red hot (Copper seems to be doing very well), some have taken huge hits (SLQs)</p><p><br /></p><p>The whole numismatic field isn't going to fall 50% in one fell swoop. Some coins will hold up OK, others will crash hard. I see some dealers on another board talking about lower grade keys getting ready to tumble badly (It's starting already). I bet the following coins are going to take big hits in most any circulated grade, and these are all coins that are expensive, yet easy to find and have been swept up in the recent Bull Market.</p><p><br /></p><p>1885, 1886 and 1912-S Liberty Nickels</p><p>1932-S and D Washington Quarters</p><p>Key date Barber Quarters</p><p>Mercury Dimes, especially the 16-D, 21s too</p><p>Key date Walkers, esp the 38-D, these won't be selling for $85 in VG for long</p><p>Key and Semi-Key Standing Liberty Quarters, esp the 1916 (I know of a bunch of these that the same dealers have had for months and months)</p><p>S-VDBs, 14-D Lincolns. XF+s I bet hold up, but the VG/F coins won't hold a lot of value. Like Jack drilled into my skull, why spend $1k on an F when an XF/AU is $1500?</p><p>Modern silly grade stuff, MS70 ASEs, stuff like that</p><p><br /></p><p>Coins that are genuinely rare ought to hold up fine, I don't see things like TRULY Mint State Capped Bust Halves crashing, TRULY Original skin and solid VF+ Barbers crashing, etc.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="rld14, post: 519049, member: 16133"]I don't think we've seen anything yet. But it's starting. When real estate crashed, when this downturn started some segments stayed hot and are still hot, some crashed early, others took a while. In the early stages a lot of sellers wouldn't accept that prices were coming down and held their asking prices, all of a sudden their property just did not sell. Look at some segments, some coins just aren't selling, some are red hot (Copper seems to be doing very well), some have taken huge hits (SLQs) The whole numismatic field isn't going to fall 50% in one fell swoop. Some coins will hold up OK, others will crash hard. I see some dealers on another board talking about lower grade keys getting ready to tumble badly (It's starting already). I bet the following coins are going to take big hits in most any circulated grade, and these are all coins that are expensive, yet easy to find and have been swept up in the recent Bull Market. 1885, 1886 and 1912-S Liberty Nickels 1932-S and D Washington Quarters Key date Barber Quarters Mercury Dimes, especially the 16-D, 21s too Key date Walkers, esp the 38-D, these won't be selling for $85 in VG for long Key and Semi-Key Standing Liberty Quarters, esp the 1916 (I know of a bunch of these that the same dealers have had for months and months) S-VDBs, 14-D Lincolns. XF+s I bet hold up, but the VG/F coins won't hold a lot of value. Like Jack drilled into my skull, why spend $1k on an F when an XF/AU is $1500? Modern silly grade stuff, MS70 ASEs, stuff like that Coins that are genuinely rare ought to hold up fine, I don't see things like TRULY Mint State Capped Bust Halves crashing, TRULY Original skin and solid VF+ Barbers crashing, etc.[/QUOTE]
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