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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;chrisild, post: 42041, member: 39&quot;]Yes, according to a recent CSA/Le Parisien opinion poll, 51% would vote No and 49% would vote Yes.</p><p><br /></p><p>In France there are two issues that should be taken into account, I think. First, many don&#039;t really care, ie. the number of people who will not vote will be relatively high. If you asked people, in any EU country, what they know about the Constitution, the results would be somewhat meager.</p><p><br /></p><p>Another problem is that, unlike in the UK where many will vote No simply because they have a chance to vote &quot;against Brussels&quot;, there are two No camps in France: Those who oppose the Constitutional Treaty because they are against further European integration, and those who would not really mind a &quot;more federal&quot; Europe but are against an EU where free movement of goods seems to have a higher priority than social standards. Add these two, and you may well have more than 50%.</p><p><br /></p><p>As for what happens if member states vote No ... well, the decision has to be unanimous. So if 23 or 24 of the 25 member states are for the Constitution, there will probably an attempt to get the new treaty through with some amendments. If more are against it, we will see. First of all, the existing treaties (EU Treaty and EC Treaty) will simply continue to apply <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>By the way, had you asked about the modification of the Euro Stability Pact, that would have been at least a tiny little bit on-topic ;-)</p><p><br /></p><p>Christian[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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