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<p>[QUOTE="physics-fan3.14, post: 4508772, member: 19165"]Two hypotheses:</p><p><br /></p><p> - assume that once you contract it, you're somewhat immune to it (for a time). If many people have recovered, there is a herd immunity built into the population that reduces the chance of spread. Since this is a new virus, there is currently no herd immunity. It takes time. Perhaps by January, there will be enough herd immunity to reduce the severity of spread/outbreaks. There's a lot of ifs here, of course, but it's been observed in other viruses. </p><p><br /></p><p> - assume that within 6-9 months there will be a vaccine. Based on the billions in research and fast-track lanes these developmental vaccines are receiving, that's not completely impossible. The vaccine might not be widespread by January, but I'd expect that vaccines would be approved and started implementing before Christmas. </p><p><br /></p><p>If you accept either of these hypotheses as remotely plausible, then a January FUN show might be possible. I'm going to choose to believe it will happen.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="physics-fan3.14, post: 4508772, member: 19165"]Two hypotheses: - assume that once you contract it, you're somewhat immune to it (for a time). If many people have recovered, there is a herd immunity built into the population that reduces the chance of spread. Since this is a new virus, there is currently no herd immunity. It takes time. Perhaps by January, there will be enough herd immunity to reduce the severity of spread/outbreaks. There's a lot of ifs here, of course, but it's been observed in other viruses. - assume that within 6-9 months there will be a vaccine. Based on the billions in research and fast-track lanes these developmental vaccines are receiving, that's not completely impossible. The vaccine might not be widespread by January, but I'd expect that vaccines would be approved and started implementing before Christmas. If you accept either of these hypotheses as remotely plausible, then a January FUN show might be possible. I'm going to choose to believe it will happen.[/QUOTE]
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