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<p>[QUOTE="Volante, post: 2360043, member: 57279"]The health of the hobby will ultimately depend on the influx of new collectors to the hobby. What I am curious about is how the collectors on this site got into the hobby originally. For every collector who was lucky enough to inherit a collection from a relative (myself included), I would hazard a guess that many more got into the hobby by building out collections of circulating coins - maybe filling out a folder of Lincoln cents or keeping a jar of state quarters. </p><p><br /></p><p>I believe the hobby is in a good position for the next 50 years or so, due to the revitalizing impact of the internet (eBay, coin collecting forums, registry sites) and the Mint's vigorous marketing efforts. Those two factors have resulted in a huge increase in young collectors, who should help the hobby survive the retirement of the large Baby Boomer generation of collectors. </p><p><br /></p><p>However, I am not too optimistic about the strength of the hobby more than 50 years out. The problem is that, as others have stated, we are moving towards a cashless society. While cash will obviously still have a role in society, that role will only become more limited as young people grow to rely on various virtual payment methods. As the next generations lose exposure to coins in circulation, the probability of them entering the hobby on their own volition will only decrease. Coins will become obsolete antiques, collected by a small niche. The Mint will continue pumping out the same volume of material each year but unlike before, demand won't keep up with supply. Just as the USPS oversaturated the stamps market, the Mint will oversaturate the coins market. The bottom will drop out, and we'll be left with a small group of wealthy collector-investors maintaining the prices of rare coins at the top of the market. </p><p><br /></p><p>Or...I just pulled all of the above out of my butt and I and everybody else has no idea what the future will bring.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Volante, post: 2360043, member: 57279"]The health of the hobby will ultimately depend on the influx of new collectors to the hobby. What I am curious about is how the collectors on this site got into the hobby originally. For every collector who was lucky enough to inherit a collection from a relative (myself included), I would hazard a guess that many more got into the hobby by building out collections of circulating coins - maybe filling out a folder of Lincoln cents or keeping a jar of state quarters. I believe the hobby is in a good position for the next 50 years or so, due to the revitalizing impact of the internet (eBay, coin collecting forums, registry sites) and the Mint's vigorous marketing efforts. Those two factors have resulted in a huge increase in young collectors, who should help the hobby survive the retirement of the large Baby Boomer generation of collectors. However, I am not too optimistic about the strength of the hobby more than 50 years out. The problem is that, as others have stated, we are moving towards a cashless society. While cash will obviously still have a role in society, that role will only become more limited as young people grow to rely on various virtual payment methods. As the next generations lose exposure to coins in circulation, the probability of them entering the hobby on their own volition will only decrease. Coins will become obsolete antiques, collected by a small niche. The Mint will continue pumping out the same volume of material each year but unlike before, demand won't keep up with supply. Just as the USPS oversaturated the stamps market, the Mint will oversaturate the coins market. The bottom will drop out, and we'll be left with a small group of wealthy collector-investors maintaining the prices of rare coins at the top of the market. Or...I just pulled all of the above out of my butt and I and everybody else has no idea what the future will bring.[/QUOTE]
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