Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Coin Chat
>
silver $9
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 94418, member: 3011"]I'm not sure why people keep referring back to the 1979-1980 silver price spike as if it had some relevance to today. It reminds me of many stock market articles that explained how the market would fall back in price when the DJIA rose above 1,000 around 1983 because that's what always happened since 1966. </p><p><br /></p><p>There is no doubt that silver was overpriced back then at $30-$50. But a lot has changed. Silver is now selling at single digit prices. It has basically gone nowhere in 25 years. How many things can you buy now for the same price as 1979? I purchased a brand new 1978 Ford Mustang for $2,900. Most of the silver that is available to melt for less than $20 per ounce was melted long ago. World stockpiles of silver were measured in the billions of ounces. Now the Comex has about 100million ounces, roughly half of it not available for delivery. Since the 70s, the central banks of the world have flooded the economy with paper, and practically everything costs more, except silver. Check out growing demand from Asia, which has traditionally had an affinity for silver even greater than they do for gold. Check out the futures markets. There are more ounces sold short than exist in the world for delivery. I think I know how that story will end, the only thing in doubt is the timing. Sometimes it's easier to determine what will happen than when.</p><p><br /></p><p>So times and conditions change. The expectation that silver will return to $5 and stay there is unbelievably unrealistic in my opinion. And I freely admit it is just an opinion, backed by analysis of the silver market. Only time will tell, but in my opinion single digit prices for silver will disappear over the next few years, perhaps forever. Five years from now, people waiting for $5 silver will be thought of in the same light as the people waiting for the return of $.35 per gallon gasoline.</p><p><br /></p><p>If you want silver or more silver, now might be a good time to get it. If you need that one Morgan to complete your collection, but it looks $10 too high in price, now might be a good time to get it instead of waiting until the price comes back down to "normal" levels. If you intend to buy 2006 ASEs, now might be a good time to pre-order them. If you bought silver coins at cheaper prices and are thinking of selling them because you can make a profit of $1-$2 per coin, put them away for a few years. Selling silver at single digit prices might be the mistake of a lifetime![/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 94418, member: 3011"]I'm not sure why people keep referring back to the 1979-1980 silver price spike as if it had some relevance to today. It reminds me of many stock market articles that explained how the market would fall back in price when the DJIA rose above 1,000 around 1983 because that's what always happened since 1966. There is no doubt that silver was overpriced back then at $30-$50. But a lot has changed. Silver is now selling at single digit prices. It has basically gone nowhere in 25 years. How many things can you buy now for the same price as 1979? I purchased a brand new 1978 Ford Mustang for $2,900. Most of the silver that is available to melt for less than $20 per ounce was melted long ago. World stockpiles of silver were measured in the billions of ounces. Now the Comex has about 100million ounces, roughly half of it not available for delivery. Since the 70s, the central banks of the world have flooded the economy with paper, and practically everything costs more, except silver. Check out growing demand from Asia, which has traditionally had an affinity for silver even greater than they do for gold. Check out the futures markets. There are more ounces sold short than exist in the world for delivery. I think I know how that story will end, the only thing in doubt is the timing. Sometimes it's easier to determine what will happen than when. So times and conditions change. The expectation that silver will return to $5 and stay there is unbelievably unrealistic in my opinion. And I freely admit it is just an opinion, backed by analysis of the silver market. Only time will tell, but in my opinion single digit prices for silver will disappear over the next few years, perhaps forever. Five years from now, people waiting for $5 silver will be thought of in the same light as the people waiting for the return of $.35 per gallon gasoline. If you want silver or more silver, now might be a good time to get it. If you need that one Morgan to complete your collection, but it looks $10 too high in price, now might be a good time to get it instead of waiting until the price comes back down to "normal" levels. If you intend to buy 2006 ASEs, now might be a good time to pre-order them. If you bought silver coins at cheaper prices and are thinking of selling them because you can make a profit of $1-$2 per coin, put them away for a few years. Selling silver at single digit prices might be the mistake of a lifetime![/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Coin Chat
>
silver $9
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...