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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;Vess1, post: 2933587, member: 13650&quot;]What seems to be lost in the argument is the acknowledgement that coins which are pushing 4 and 5 figures are going to be HIGHLY volatile!&nbsp;&nbsp; A coin that&#039;s valued at say, $50 can be desired, AND acquired by a huge number of people.&nbsp;&nbsp; &quot;A huge number&quot; being <b>extremely</b> relative because the group of people who collect/desire coins is a very small slice of society.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; Now you move on to analyze the people who not only desire those $20k Franklin half dollars but who are ALSO capable of comfortably buying one.... lol!!&nbsp; &nbsp; Now that&#039;s a tiny slice of the original tiny slice.&nbsp;&nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp;&nbsp; On top of that, how many examples of them are there and how often do they come up for sale, let alone sell?&nbsp; Maybe the last one sold for $20k and now one has finally came on the market again and there was limited interest so it sold at $15k.&nbsp; &nbsp; That sale alone probably just moved the market enough to have serious impact on the price guide.&nbsp; &nbsp; This segment seems like a whole other animal compared to the average range you typically see people buying at.&nbsp; &nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp;Now undoubtedly somebody&#039;s going to come on and say, &quot;OMG, $20K Franklins sell all the time!!&quot;&nbsp; Well, I can show you stuff in $800 to $1k range thats been sitting on ebay for months.&nbsp; Popular series&#039; and gold.&nbsp; I&#039;ve seen some stuff sit for years.</p><p><br /></p><p>&nbsp; All you have to do is look at statistics.&nbsp; I know people who have household incomes of $150k and they talk about the rich needing to pay their fair share.&nbsp;&nbsp; I ask them how many rich people do you think are available to pay this fair share?&nbsp; I said to the people taking home $40k a year, YOU are the rich.&nbsp; If you have a household income of $150k a year, you&#039;re in the top 10% of earners in the US if not higher.&nbsp; That tends to blow people&#039;s minds.&nbsp; &nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp; So now we know that <b><u>90%</u></b> of the US isn&#039;t capable of buying these high end US coin, conditional rarities and most people in the top 10% are not either.&nbsp; Your pool of available buyers gets very slim, real fast.&nbsp;&nbsp; Even if you want to say there are thousands of people in the top 0.001% of earners, you still have to fulfill that 2nd part of the equation.&nbsp;&nbsp; A coin collector or investor in that group who desires to purchase those conditional rarities and not some other conditional rarity?&nbsp; Maybe they&#039;re only into ancients?&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; </p><p>&nbsp;&nbsp; To me, the price guide swinging drastically at this end makes perfect sense.&nbsp; On top of the fact that a TPG who derives income off of collector enthusiasm has zero incentive to drive coin prices down for the hell of it.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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