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<p>[QUOTE="Market Harmony, post: 680957, member: 20154"]Ok, thanks to everyone for the consideration of my question. But I'd like to reference the above response for further discussion.</p><p> </p><p>There are some minds that like just the plain commodity, and then there are those that like coins. Those that get into the physical commodity will most likely, IMO, also move into coins... first for the bullion value (like roosevelt dime) and then into numismatics (like Morgans). But those that are only into numismatics, may only use bullion as a diversified investment. </p><p> </p><p>I would speculate that as more people get into silver bullion investment, then the progression of interest will lead to numismatics. I would also think that there would be a significant delay of silver price peak to the peak in interest for numismatics... perhaps a year or so.</p><p> </p><p>I'm trying to picture the scenario in my mind: </p><p>- Silver goes up and catches many people's attention and they start to invest in the bullion products. </p><p>- Some will only trade paper, but others will take physical possession. </p><p>- As a whole, those that take physical possession will find it difficult to acquire everything that they want, and will look for substitutes, such as junk 90%. </p><p>- As the price continues to rise, the supplies dwindle, but the interest will not decline. This is the point when I think numismatics will begin to see increased interest. </p><p>- Being that numismatics hold their value and are not affected drastically by the underlying metal spot price, even more interest will come when gold and silver reaches a peak and begins to steadily decline in price. </p><p>- People will sell their physical bullion and move into the numismatics for which they have been steadily acquiring a taste.</p><p>- Then, as more people see that numismatics are increasing in price, they could begin bidding up the prices even more... especailly when they see the metal prices continue to fall.</p><p> </p><p>This is just my speculative prognosticating, and perhaps I'm painting too rosy of a picture of a potential scenario. But, I do think that there is going to be some kind of relationship between commodity price and numismatic price. Albeit, it will not be directly correlated on a simultaneous basis. In my scenario, there will be a delay... like overlapping sine waves of different amplitude and frequency[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Market Harmony, post: 680957, member: 20154"]Ok, thanks to everyone for the consideration of my question. But I'd like to reference the above response for further discussion. There are some minds that like just the plain commodity, and then there are those that like coins. Those that get into the physical commodity will most likely, IMO, also move into coins... first for the bullion value (like roosevelt dime) and then into numismatics (like Morgans). But those that are only into numismatics, may only use bullion as a diversified investment. I would speculate that as more people get into silver bullion investment, then the progression of interest will lead to numismatics. I would also think that there would be a significant delay of silver price peak to the peak in interest for numismatics... perhaps a year or so. I'm trying to picture the scenario in my mind: - Silver goes up and catches many people's attention and they start to invest in the bullion products. - Some will only trade paper, but others will take physical possession. - As a whole, those that take physical possession will find it difficult to acquire everything that they want, and will look for substitutes, such as junk 90%. - As the price continues to rise, the supplies dwindle, but the interest will not decline. This is the point when I think numismatics will begin to see increased interest. - Being that numismatics hold their value and are not affected drastically by the underlying metal spot price, even more interest will come when gold and silver reaches a peak and begins to steadily decline in price. - People will sell their physical bullion and move into the numismatics for which they have been steadily acquiring a taste. - Then, as more people see that numismatics are increasing in price, they could begin bidding up the prices even more... especailly when they see the metal prices continue to fall. This is just my speculative prognosticating, and perhaps I'm painting too rosy of a picture of a potential scenario. But, I do think that there is going to be some kind of relationship between commodity price and numismatic price. Albeit, it will not be directly correlated on a simultaneous basis. In my scenario, there will be a delay... like overlapping sine waves of different amplitude and frequency[/QUOTE]
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