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<p>[QUOTE="Leadfoot, post: 604953, member: 2972"]A few points, Lehigh...</p><p><br /></p><p>First, you don't see the great rise of the AT coins because (with respect) you're not close enough to the market to see it. The problem is far worse than most people think, IMO.</p><p><br /></p><p>Second, NGC predated PCGS in slabbing AT coins -- they just do it in NCS slabs -- so there's no lead to follow.</p><p><br /></p><p>Third, you hit the nail on the head, IMO, on the toned coin market's achilles heel -- loss of confidence, whether it be in the TPG's ability to grade or the veracity of the toner market as a whole. A second concern is the ever-increasing skill level of the doctors which further erodes confidence (and many would argue that we're just about there). For instance -- and a bit of food for thought -- what would happen to our beloved rainbows if the doctor who can duplicate them posted the recipe like was done for MS70 and blue copper? Then in the coming months a dearth of coins that look just like the ones we own hit the market? Hmmm....</p><p><br /></p><p>Lastly, take a step back a moment and think about what your suggesting. Fads in coins come and go -- and to predict a never ending market in any collectible is folly (much less a specialization area within a collectible.) They said the same thing for tulips, stamps, and baseball cards too....</p><p><br /></p><p>Take care....Mike[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Leadfoot, post: 604953, member: 2972"]A few points, Lehigh... First, you don't see the great rise of the AT coins because (with respect) you're not close enough to the market to see it. The problem is far worse than most people think, IMO. Second, NGC predated PCGS in slabbing AT coins -- they just do it in NCS slabs -- so there's no lead to follow. Third, you hit the nail on the head, IMO, on the toned coin market's achilles heel -- loss of confidence, whether it be in the TPG's ability to grade or the veracity of the toner market as a whole. A second concern is the ever-increasing skill level of the doctors which further erodes confidence (and many would argue that we're just about there). For instance -- and a bit of food for thought -- what would happen to our beloved rainbows if the doctor who can duplicate them posted the recipe like was done for MS70 and blue copper? Then in the coming months a dearth of coins that look just like the ones we own hit the market? Hmmm.... Lastly, take a step back a moment and think about what your suggesting. Fads in coins come and go -- and to predict a never ending market in any collectible is folly (much less a specialization area within a collectible.) They said the same thing for tulips, stamps, and baseball cards too.... Take care....Mike[/QUOTE]
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