Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Ancient Coins
>
Predicting hammer price: playing a bit with Sixbid data & looking for inspiration
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Jaelus, post: 3866906, member: 46237"]I would not lump all auction houses together. </p><p><br /></p><p>Take for example an auction house known for taking photos that make the coin look better than it really is, and selling coins with undisclosed problems. Then as another example an auction house known for premium quality coins that are frequently better than depicted, with conservative grades given. Both examples I mentioned may sell the same coin with the same <i>listed </i>grade, however, the better auction house might have the coin hammer for 10x as much. When taken together along with average auction houses, these can look like outliers, but they may not be outliers at all for those respective auction houses. Your data for an average house may be a much tighter distribution, and for the outliers, you may have auction houses that overgrade, and others that undergrade.</p><p><br /></p><p>It may be useful to examine each auction house to determine how to handle them. For example, the better auction house in my example sells better coins. You may be more inclined to bid at that auction house for this reason, however, your data taking into account all auction houses will result in you underbidding at this particular auction house, and that isn't a helpful extrapolation from the data.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Jaelus, post: 3866906, member: 46237"]I would not lump all auction houses together. Take for example an auction house known for taking photos that make the coin look better than it really is, and selling coins with undisclosed problems. Then as another example an auction house known for premium quality coins that are frequently better than depicted, with conservative grades given. Both examples I mentioned may sell the same coin with the same [I]listed [/I]grade, however, the better auction house might have the coin hammer for 10x as much. When taken together along with average auction houses, these can look like outliers, but they may not be outliers at all for those respective auction houses. Your data for an average house may be a much tighter distribution, and for the outliers, you may have auction houses that overgrade, and others that undergrade. It may be useful to examine each auction house to determine how to handle them. For example, the better auction house in my example sells better coins. You may be more inclined to bid at that auction house for this reason, however, your data taking into account all auction houses will result in you underbidding at this particular auction house, and that isn't a helpful extrapolation from the data.[/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Ancient Coins
>
Predicting hammer price: playing a bit with Sixbid data & looking for inspiration
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...