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<p>[QUOTE="Terence Cheesman, post: 3843764, member: 86498"]Over the last three years I have placed close to 2000 coins into auctions. Most of the coins have been sold through CNG or Triskeles Auctions. One would assume that I might of learned something from all of this. Your assumption would be wrong. I probably know not much more now than when I started. Many coins that I assumed would do well don't. Some die after the first bid. Whereas others do extremely well. Only once I was able to predict that a coin was going to do very badly. It suffered from "really ugly picture" disease. It was so bad I could not believe it was my coin. Oh well someone got a rather pleasant looking coin for a reasonable price.(I think I got $20 Ouch).</p><p> The same is true when I am buying. Last year I tried to get a number of coins only to be out bid by rather serious margins. Yet others which were very similar, I got for what I would consider to be a really good price. Like many others who have commented on this thread I think there are just too many variables to fact in to come up with what might be described at best an educated guess.</p><p> Coin I got at auction this year Alexander I Balas Ar drachm SC 1785.13 var. Antioch 147-146 B.C. 4.25 grms 19 mm Purchased from CNG Auction 111 Lot 340 May 29 2019 EX MNL Collection[ATTACH=full]1019824[/ATTACH][/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Terence Cheesman, post: 3843764, member: 86498"]Over the last three years I have placed close to 2000 coins into auctions. Most of the coins have been sold through CNG or Triskeles Auctions. One would assume that I might of learned something from all of this. Your assumption would be wrong. I probably know not much more now than when I started. Many coins that I assumed would do well don't. Some die after the first bid. Whereas others do extremely well. Only once I was able to predict that a coin was going to do very badly. It suffered from "really ugly picture" disease. It was so bad I could not believe it was my coin. Oh well someone got a rather pleasant looking coin for a reasonable price.(I think I got $20 Ouch). The same is true when I am buying. Last year I tried to get a number of coins only to be out bid by rather serious margins. Yet others which were very similar, I got for what I would consider to be a really good price. Like many others who have commented on this thread I think there are just too many variables to fact in to come up with what might be described at best an educated guess. Coin I got at auction this year Alexander I Balas Ar drachm SC 1785.13 var. Antioch 147-146 B.C. 4.25 grms 19 mm Purchased from CNG Auction 111 Lot 340 May 29 2019 EX MNL Collection[ATTACH=full]1019824[/ATTACH][/QUOTE]
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Predicting hammer price: playing a bit with Sixbid data & looking for inspiration
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