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<p>[QUOTE="GDJMSP, post: 717113, member: 112"]In a great many cases mintage numbers are known, in great detail. But mintage numbers are not what matters, never have been. What matter is how many survive today. Or as you originally asked - what is the population ?</p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Yes it is possible, but as I said earlier, you likely won't find one. What it takes to find that out is experience. You have to know the market. And you cna only know the market by doing a great deal of research and spending a whole lot of time studying. What do you study ? You study auction catalogs and realized prices that cover decades.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>This is much easier to find out. All you have to do is look up recent realized auction prices. Of course you also have to be able to judge the condition of each coin so that you know where among those realized prices the coin in question will fall. In other words, you have to be able to accurately grade the coin in question. That part, that takes time to learn.</p><p><br /></p><p>However, if you do look up realized prices for any given coin, and then compare those to the realized prices for another similar but different coin (different date, mint) - then you will begin to have a pretty good idea, not what the population is, but if the population is larger or smaller than the similar coin. For the prices paid are typically paid by people in the know. People who have already done all the work that you need to do yet. In other words, the market tells what you want to know.</p><p><br /></p><p>And next your going to ask - how do you know that the market is right ? The simple fact is - it doesn't matter if it is right or not. A given coin is going to sell at the current market no matter what.</p><p><br /></p><p>And that's what others were trying to tell you. And if you are not willing to pay what the market says - then you won't get the coin. It's just that simple.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GDJMSP, post: 717113, member: 112"]In a great many cases mintage numbers are known, in great detail. But mintage numbers are not what matters, never have been. What matter is how many survive today. Or as you originally asked - what is the population ? Yes it is possible, but as I said earlier, you likely won't find one. What it takes to find that out is experience. You have to know the market. And you cna only know the market by doing a great deal of research and spending a whole lot of time studying. What do you study ? You study auction catalogs and realized prices that cover decades. This is much easier to find out. All you have to do is look up recent realized auction prices. Of course you also have to be able to judge the condition of each coin so that you know where among those realized prices the coin in question will fall. In other words, you have to be able to accurately grade the coin in question. That part, that takes time to learn. However, if you do look up realized prices for any given coin, and then compare those to the realized prices for another similar but different coin (different date, mint) - then you will begin to have a pretty good idea, not what the population is, but if the population is larger or smaller than the similar coin. For the prices paid are typically paid by people in the know. People who have already done all the work that you need to do yet. In other words, the market tells what you want to know. And next your going to ask - how do you know that the market is right ? The simple fact is - it doesn't matter if it is right or not. A given coin is going to sell at the current market no matter what. And that's what others were trying to tell you. And if you are not willing to pay what the market says - then you won't get the coin. It's just that simple.[/QUOTE]
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