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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;John Anthony, post: 1618272, member: 42773&quot;]Suppose I buy a coin in MS69 that has a pop of 100/10.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now. Mint set searchers (like myself) are going to continue submitting this coin in the future, but I&#039;m guessing that for every 10 submissions, only one might return as a 70 - on average. That&#039;s just made up, but in general you&#039;re going to get many more 69s than 70s. So let&#039;s pretend I submitted 10 coins and got 9 69s and one 70. That would make the pop of my 69: 109/11.</p><p><br /></p><p>So this is really more of a question about speculation than collecting. If you&#039;re one grade below the top pop, statistically you&#039;re sitting in somewhat of a danger zone when it comes to valuation, right?</p><p><br /></p><p>And is it also fair to assume that the older the coins, the more stable the pops? In the Kennedy series, for instance, I&#039;m wary of buying a coin such as the 07-D in SP69 with a pop of 238/1, because likely there will be a great number of submissions over the next few years that will inevitably increase that number of 238, perhaps double it.</p><p><br /></p><p>However, I&#039;m less concerned about valuation when it comes to buying a 76-S SILVER in MS68 with a pop of 278/1, because collectors have had 37 years to pick over this issue, and if the numbers do change, it won&#039;t be by that much.</p><p><br /></p><p>Am I analyzing this correctly, or have I got it all wrong?[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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