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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 67132, member: 3011"]Just to jump in here...</p><p><br /></p><p>The original post indicated that the set would be held for many years. So this is really a request to predict the future, which is quite a tough assignment since it is hard enough to figure out and agree upon the present. But with that criteria, I would say buy whichever set is less expensive assuming there is no measurable difference in quality. Nobody knows which TPG will be preferred in, say, 20 years. Nobody knows what sort of scandal lurks just beneath the surface of the popular grading companies of today that might damage the trust that people put in their holders. If the coins in the NGC holder are 10% cheaper, buy them. The only way this won't work out is if the percentage increases at the time of sale. If the gap narrows, you will earn a higher percentage return. If it stays the same, it doesn't matter. I'm not sure there is much evidence that the gap is likely to widen more than it already is because these things tend to regress to the mean over time. Anyway, that's what I would do.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 67132, member: 3011"]Just to jump in here... The original post indicated that the set would be held for many years. So this is really a request to predict the future, which is quite a tough assignment since it is hard enough to figure out and agree upon the present. But with that criteria, I would say buy whichever set is less expensive assuming there is no measurable difference in quality. Nobody knows which TPG will be preferred in, say, 20 years. Nobody knows what sort of scandal lurks just beneath the surface of the popular grading companies of today that might damage the trust that people put in their holders. If the coins in the NGC holder are 10% cheaper, buy them. The only way this won't work out is if the percentage increases at the time of sale. If the gap narrows, you will earn a higher percentage return. If it stays the same, it doesn't matter. I'm not sure there is much evidence that the gap is likely to widen more than it already is because these things tend to regress to the mean over time. Anyway, that's what I would do.[/QUOTE]
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