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<p>[QUOTE="Leadfoot, post: 1055941, member: 2972"]Auctions are not a retail setting. </p><p><br /></p><p>What I'm telling you is that there are a great number of retail outlets (i.e. dealers) of PCGS coins, to include those who attend large regional shows, where the PCGS is a very good predictor of price. Here's a list: <a href="http://www.pcgs.com/dealers/" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.pcgs.com/dealers/" rel="nofollow">http://www.pcgs.com/dealers/</a></p><p><br /></p><p>Said a bit differently, the 30% "too high" is a pretty good gauge of average spread for retail dealers that advertise on the internet or attend the show circuit -- particularly as you get to "classic" coins (i.e. pre-1930) and the traveling circuit. In actuality, the spread may be a bit smaller, but not much.</p><p><br /></p><p>You coming to FUN? Let's do a little experiment. We'll pick out some coins and find 10 nice examples of each in PCGS holders on the bourse and write down the asking price. I think it would be a great insight into the market and absolutely worth the time of a few collectors (we could each take one coin). </p><p><br /></p><p>I know when I last did the experiment, in 2007, the guide was very accurate. I know when I look at the websites listed on the PCGS site, including some dealers from whom I get inventory updates on a regular basis, the guide is very accurate. However, I also recognize that I don't watch large parts of the market -- as you know, I'm a modern type and large cent collector and I don't attend a lot of shows.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now you can argue that it may be the tail wagging the dog here, and I would might agree with you. You could also argue that there's probably some meat left on the bone and negotiation for an additional discount is possible, and again I would agree with you. In addition, if you were to argue the closer to top-pop you get and the smaller the spread gets, and I would agree. And of course there are dealers that sell a bit more cheaply than others, and there are exceptions to the rule. That doesn't change the correlation between price guide and asking price that I have observed and I expect will hold should we undertake a more broad experiment.</p><p><br /></p><p>And it is for this reason I took issue to your "worthless" comment.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Leadfoot, post: 1055941, member: 2972"]Auctions are not a retail setting. What I'm telling you is that there are a great number of retail outlets (i.e. dealers) of PCGS coins, to include those who attend large regional shows, where the PCGS is a very good predictor of price. Here's a list: [url]http://www.pcgs.com/dealers/[/url] Said a bit differently, the 30% "too high" is a pretty good gauge of average spread for retail dealers that advertise on the internet or attend the show circuit -- particularly as you get to "classic" coins (i.e. pre-1930) and the traveling circuit. In actuality, the spread may be a bit smaller, but not much. You coming to FUN? Let's do a little experiment. We'll pick out some coins and find 10 nice examples of each in PCGS holders on the bourse and write down the asking price. I think it would be a great insight into the market and absolutely worth the time of a few collectors (we could each take one coin). I know when I last did the experiment, in 2007, the guide was very accurate. I know when I look at the websites listed on the PCGS site, including some dealers from whom I get inventory updates on a regular basis, the guide is very accurate. However, I also recognize that I don't watch large parts of the market -- as you know, I'm a modern type and large cent collector and I don't attend a lot of shows. Now you can argue that it may be the tail wagging the dog here, and I would might agree with you. You could also argue that there's probably some meat left on the bone and negotiation for an additional discount is possible, and again I would agree with you. In addition, if you were to argue the closer to top-pop you get and the smaller the spread gets, and I would agree. And of course there are dealers that sell a bit more cheaply than others, and there are exceptions to the rule. That doesn't change the correlation between price guide and asking price that I have observed and I expect will hold should we undertake a more broad experiment. And it is for this reason I took issue to your "worthless" comment.[/QUOTE]
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