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<p>[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 3976241, member: 73489"]<span style="color: #660033">One thing strikes me from a technical POV as an investment analyst....you have NEVER had a period from the 1970's where the coin hobby could price on natural supply and demand. You've ALWAYS been beseiged by soaring or plummeting PM prices and/or bubbles:</span></p><ul> <li><span style="color: #660033">1970's: Gold price up 20-fold, inflation quadruples, exchange rates unfixed, coin prices soar.</span></li> <li><span style="color: #660033">1980's: Coin prices collapse after 1980, gold cut in half, silver more.</span></li> <li><span style="color: #660033">1990's: Coin prices soar (1989-90) early on then collapse with most coins down 75%.</span></li> <li><span style="color: #660033">2000's: Coins leverage to bullion shows as their prices "race ahead" twice when gold moves (2000 and then again in 2010). Overshoots lead to corrections.</span></li> </ul><p><b><span style="color: #b30000">Good point on the ancients, I've taken to them from an aesthetic and investment POV </span></b>but I have NO IDEA what to buy, when to buy it, price, etc.</p><p><br /></p><p>Considering Doug/GDJSMP says they've been in a 16-year bull market, <i>how do I know I'm not the sucker at the top of the market coming in who'll be under water a ton in a few months or quarters ?</i> <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>Could be my personal recreation of folks who bought in during 1980, 1989, or 2007.<img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GoldFinger1969, post: 3976241, member: 73489"][COLOR=#660033]One thing strikes me from a technical POV as an investment analyst....you have NEVER had a period from the 1970's where the coin hobby could price on natural supply and demand. You've ALWAYS been beseiged by soaring or plummeting PM prices and/or bubbles:[/COLOR] [LIST] [*][COLOR=#660033]1970's: Gold price up 20-fold, inflation quadruples, exchange rates unfixed, coin prices soar.[/COLOR] [*][COLOR=#660033]1980's: Coin prices collapse after 1980, gold cut in half, silver more.[/COLOR] [*][COLOR=#660033]1990's: Coin prices soar (1989-90) early on then collapse with most coins down 75%.[/COLOR] [*][COLOR=#660033]2000's: Coins leverage to bullion shows as their prices "race ahead" twice when gold moves (2000 and then again in 2010). Overshoots lead to corrections.[/COLOR] [/LIST] [COLOR=rgb(102, 0, 51)][/COLOR][B][COLOR=#b30000]Good point on the ancients, I've taken to them from an aesthetic and investment POV [/COLOR][/B]but I have NO IDEA what to buy, when to buy it, price, etc. Considering Doug/GDJSMP says they've been in a 16-year bull market, [I]how do I know I'm not the sucker at the top of the market coming in who'll be under water a ton in a few months or quarters ?[/I] :D Could be my personal recreation of folks who bought in during 1980, 1989, or 2007.:D[/QUOTE]
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