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<p>[QUOTE="TIF, post: 3061308, member: 56859"]There already <i>are</i> indicators and they are less crude than a TPG slabbed count would bring. There are various paid and free archives of ancient coins so anyone can extract information for any given type of coin if they are sufficiently motivated and have a TON of time to devote to the effort. How details are handled is another obstacle. With modern coins it's easy-- country, coin, year. It's not so tidy with ancient coins because of the vast number of variables. Jyrki Muona has been working on a die study (think of it as a sophisticated census) for Otho alone for a couple of decades and Otho has fewer coin types than most other emperors. I can't imagine the man hours it must take to do such a study.</p><p><br /></p><p>The percent of ancient coins slabbed is small so a TPG record of coins slabbed won't provide the type of counts you seek, plus due to lack of space the label information is rudimentary and may not be sufficient for census purposes.</p><p><br /></p><p>Also, as Doug pointed out, there is no way to account for the multitude of ancient coins languishing in old private collections and in museum basements and who knows what tomorrow's ground clearing and metal detecting may bring.</p><p><br /></p><p>To me, availability or lack of availability in today's market is the practical indicator of rarity. If rarity matters to you, before buying a coin, check all of the auction databases you can for recent sales (ACsearch; CNG's archives; CoinArchives); check for current "retail" offerings on Vcoins, MA-shops, eBay, etc; check Numisbids, Sixbid, and other auction aggregators for currently up-for-auction listings. For instance, at the moment there are 21 coins of Otho up for auction (not counting eBay) and 25 for sale on Vcoins. Most are denarii and the rest are provincials. I did not examine all of the denarii to see the exact types (there are ~9 basic reverses for Otho denarii, I think).[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="TIF, post: 3061308, member: 56859"]There already [I]are[/I] indicators and they are less crude than a TPG slabbed count would bring. There are various paid and free archives of ancient coins so anyone can extract information for any given type of coin if they are sufficiently motivated and have a TON of time to devote to the effort. How details are handled is another obstacle. With modern coins it's easy-- country, coin, year. It's not so tidy with ancient coins because of the vast number of variables. Jyrki Muona has been working on a die study (think of it as a sophisticated census) for Otho alone for a couple of decades and Otho has fewer coin types than most other emperors. I can't imagine the man hours it must take to do such a study. The percent of ancient coins slabbed is small so a TPG record of coins slabbed won't provide the type of counts you seek, plus due to lack of space the label information is rudimentary and may not be sufficient for census purposes. Also, as Doug pointed out, there is no way to account for the multitude of ancient coins languishing in old private collections and in museum basements and who knows what tomorrow's ground clearing and metal detecting may bring. To me, availability or lack of availability in today's market is the practical indicator of rarity. If rarity matters to you, before buying a coin, check all of the auction databases you can for recent sales (ACsearch; CNG's archives; CoinArchives); check for current "retail" offerings on Vcoins, MA-shops, eBay, etc; check Numisbids, Sixbid, and other auction aggregators for currently up-for-auction listings. For instance, at the moment there are 21 coins of Otho up for auction (not counting eBay) and 25 for sale on Vcoins. Most are denarii and the rest are provincials. I did not examine all of the denarii to see the exact types (there are ~9 basic reverses for Otho denarii, I think).[/QUOTE]
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