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<p>[QUOTE="Conder101, post: 193617, member: 66"]I've thought about such a test and what the requirements would be from time to time. I think a minimum acceptable test could be done for about $100,000. I envision using about 50 coins in a variety of conditions, both circulated and MS. They would be submitted to the top 7 companies in small groups of five to ten coins each, and every coin would be submitted to each firm ten times. The multiple submissions to each firm is to rate consistantcy. (Sending in a coin and getting a good grade is meaningles if you find that if you send it in ten times and you get six different grades. I would not rate a firm consistant if they don't assign the same grade at least 7 times out of ten.)</p><p><br /></p><p>You do not send the same coins into each firm in the same group each time. The idea is to make sure that they don't start to recognize the same group of coins coming in repeatedly. You also have the coins submitted under different names and adresses.</p><p><br /></p><p>Each time a coin comes back it is photographed and entered into a database to track the gradings. The coins are then cracked out, re grouped and sent out again.</p><p><br /></p><p>So we are talking 50 coins times 7 services times 10 submissions each for a total of 3,500 submissions. I'm assuming an average cost of $20 per coin per submission for a cost of $70,000. The other $30,000 pays for the postage and insurance both ways for all the submissions. There may be some money left over.</p><p><br /></p><p>Another interesting addition that could be do as well is to do an extra three rounds of submissions but instead of using unknown people have those sent in under the name of a major market maker to see if that has any effect on the average grade assigned. This would require about another 1050 submissions at a cost of $20K. And you have the problem of how to get the market maker to agree and not have the information get out? Possibly give him the submissions already sealed and ready to go, they just need his mailing labels. But you would probably still have to tellhim what you are doing and that runs the risk of a leak.</p><p><br /></p><p>The whole program could probably be done for around $110K. And as I said this is a MINIMUM acceptable test size. Preferably would be one about twice that size. I would think that it would take possibly three years to complete the test because it takes so long to get submission resultes back. Unfortuantely that enters another variable into the mix. Are they grading the same at the end of the third years as they were at the beginning? The longer the test runs the bigger that question becomes.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Conder101, post: 193617, member: 66"]I've thought about such a test and what the requirements would be from time to time. I think a minimum acceptable test could be done for about $100,000. I envision using about 50 coins in a variety of conditions, both circulated and MS. They would be submitted to the top 7 companies in small groups of five to ten coins each, and every coin would be submitted to each firm ten times. The multiple submissions to each firm is to rate consistantcy. (Sending in a coin and getting a good grade is meaningles if you find that if you send it in ten times and you get six different grades. I would not rate a firm consistant if they don't assign the same grade at least 7 times out of ten.) You do not send the same coins into each firm in the same group each time. The idea is to make sure that they don't start to recognize the same group of coins coming in repeatedly. You also have the coins submitted under different names and adresses. Each time a coin comes back it is photographed and entered into a database to track the gradings. The coins are then cracked out, re grouped and sent out again. So we are talking 50 coins times 7 services times 10 submissions each for a total of 3,500 submissions. I'm assuming an average cost of $20 per coin per submission for a cost of $70,000. The other $30,000 pays for the postage and insurance both ways for all the submissions. There may be some money left over. Another interesting addition that could be do as well is to do an extra three rounds of submissions but instead of using unknown people have those sent in under the name of a major market maker to see if that has any effect on the average grade assigned. This would require about another 1050 submissions at a cost of $20K. And you have the problem of how to get the market maker to agree and not have the information get out? Possibly give him the submissions already sealed and ready to go, they just need his mailing labels. But you would probably still have to tellhim what you are doing and that runs the risk of a leak. The whole program could probably be done for around $110K. And as I said this is a MINIMUM acceptable test size. Preferably would be one about twice that size. I would think that it would take possibly three years to complete the test because it takes so long to get submission resultes back. Unfortuantely that enters another variable into the mix. Are they grading the same at the end of the third years as they were at the beginning? The longer the test runs the bigger that question becomes.[/QUOTE]
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