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<p>[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 2129503, member: 26302"]<img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /> I know you know this sir, but many here completely ignore demand. They are conditioned that "lower mintage" means high value, when it has very little to do with price. I hear what Mr. Bellman is saying, but simply believe most collectors really do not consider demand as much as they should. The coin world is literally littered with thousands upon thousands of coins that fewer than 1000 specimens exist. Heck, there might be thousands of coins that fewer than 100 exist. However, 99% of them will never be worth as much as much as a US coin that "only" has a half a million survivors. Mintages and survival rates are utterly meaningless UNLESS set against how many collectors collect the series. I have seated liberty half dollars with mintages less than 10,000 that are worth less than a 1916d dime. Why? Because nearly no one collects SL halves by date/mm, while millions collect mercuries that way. So even within US numismatics surviving specimen numbers are meaningless unless set against series demand.</p><p> </p><p>So, having said that, if one could predict the next "series" to become popular, they would by definition know what are the most undervalued today. Will it be US series like classic commemoratives or national park pucks, or Mexican silver type, or Roman gold? No way of knowing, but always buy the scarcer issues of the series you believe will gain in popularity if you wish to buy "undervalued" coins. Or, heaven forbid, just buy coins that personally give you pleasure and don't worry about making a profit in your hobby, a very difficult thing to do.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="medoraman, post: 2129503, member: 26302"]:) I know you know this sir, but many here completely ignore demand. They are conditioned that "lower mintage" means high value, when it has very little to do with price. I hear what Mr. Bellman is saying, but simply believe most collectors really do not consider demand as much as they should. The coin world is literally littered with thousands upon thousands of coins that fewer than 1000 specimens exist. Heck, there might be thousands of coins that fewer than 100 exist. However, 99% of them will never be worth as much as much as a US coin that "only" has a half a million survivors. Mintages and survival rates are utterly meaningless UNLESS set against how many collectors collect the series. I have seated liberty half dollars with mintages less than 10,000 that are worth less than a 1916d dime. Why? Because nearly no one collects SL halves by date/mm, while millions collect mercuries that way. So even within US numismatics surviving specimen numbers are meaningless unless set against series demand. So, having said that, if one could predict the next "series" to become popular, they would by definition know what are the most undervalued today. Will it be US series like classic commemoratives or national park pucks, or Mexican silver type, or Roman gold? No way of knowing, but always buy the scarcer issues of the series you believe will gain in popularity if you wish to buy "undervalued" coins. Or, heaven forbid, just buy coins that personally give you pleasure and don't worry about making a profit in your hobby, a very difficult thing to do.[/QUOTE]
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