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<p>[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 545771, member: 15309"]I think this is a very interesting question, but I like the term over-rated. I don't really know what over collected means. Over rated means to me that the value of the coin is inflated compared to the supply and demand.</p><p><br /></p><p>There is no doubt that the 1909-S VDB Lincoln Cent is priced high compared only to it's original mintage but when compared to the surviving population and the incredible demand created by series and type collectors, I don't personally think that the 1909-S VDB Lincoln is overrated.</p><p><br /></p><p>When thinking about the question, I tried to identify in my head what are considered the key dates of each series. After doing that, I concluded that the 1921 Peace Dollar is the most overrated coin IMO.</p><p><br /></p><p>The original mintage although low by Peace Dollar standards is still over 1 million coins. The surviving population of TPG graded 1921 Peace Dollars is well over 20,000 coins in all grades, hardly a rare coin. When compared to another semi-key of the series, the 1934-D which has an original mintage of 1.5 million and surviving population of 8,000, we can see the inflated prices. Let us look at the value and populations of both the 1921 and 1934-D Peace Dollars in MS65.</p><p><br /></p><p>Date/MM--------------------Population--------------------Numismedia Wholesale</p><p><br /></p><p>1921------------------------2036/257----------------------$1,850</p><p>1934-D----------------------591/87------------------------$1,625</p><p><br /></p><p>The obvious reason for the 1921 commanding a higher price is the fact that it is sought after by type collectors whereas nobody in their right mind would choose a 1934-D to fill a type collection slot. However, I suggest that despite this increased demand by type collectors, it still does not justify the price level given the fact that it is readily available in the market. Are we to believe that there are over 1,500 type collectors of MS65+ Peace Dollars? Consider that Heritage alone has sold 12 MS65 1921 Peace Dollars in 2009. In total, Heritage has sold 98 graded 1921 Peace Dollars in 2009. For these reasons, the 1921 Peace Dollar especially in MS65 is my most overrated collected coin.</p><p><br /></p><p><img src="http://i117.photobucket.com/albums/o59/ACPitBoss/CoinTalk%20Peace%20Dollars/1921PeaceDollar.jpg" class="bbCodeImage wysiwygImage" alt="" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>Some of the other coins that made my short list were as follows:</p><p><br /></p><p>1883 "NO CENTS" Liberty Nickel in any grade below MS65</p><p>1950-D Jefferson Nickel in any grade. This coin drives a higher price because of it's original mintage yet it is not rare in any grade (excluding FS MS67)</p><p>1949-S Roosevelt Dime in any grade. See comments about 1950-D Jefferson Nickel.</p><p>1881-S Morgan Dollar in any grade below MS67. The population of this coin in MS66 is 23363/4451 yet it is valued at over $250.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 545771, member: 15309"]I think this is a very interesting question, but I like the term over-rated. I don't really know what over collected means. Over rated means to me that the value of the coin is inflated compared to the supply and demand. There is no doubt that the 1909-S VDB Lincoln Cent is priced high compared only to it's original mintage but when compared to the surviving population and the incredible demand created by series and type collectors, I don't personally think that the 1909-S VDB Lincoln is overrated. When thinking about the question, I tried to identify in my head what are considered the key dates of each series. After doing that, I concluded that the 1921 Peace Dollar is the most overrated coin IMO. The original mintage although low by Peace Dollar standards is still over 1 million coins. The surviving population of TPG graded 1921 Peace Dollars is well over 20,000 coins in all grades, hardly a rare coin. When compared to another semi-key of the series, the 1934-D which has an original mintage of 1.5 million and surviving population of 8,000, we can see the inflated prices. Let us look at the value and populations of both the 1921 and 1934-D Peace Dollars in MS65. Date/MM--------------------Population--------------------Numismedia Wholesale 1921------------------------2036/257----------------------$1,850 1934-D----------------------591/87------------------------$1,625 The obvious reason for the 1921 commanding a higher price is the fact that it is sought after by type collectors whereas nobody in their right mind would choose a 1934-D to fill a type collection slot. However, I suggest that despite this increased demand by type collectors, it still does not justify the price level given the fact that it is readily available in the market. Are we to believe that there are over 1,500 type collectors of MS65+ Peace Dollars? Consider that Heritage alone has sold 12 MS65 1921 Peace Dollars in 2009. In total, Heritage has sold 98 graded 1921 Peace Dollars in 2009. For these reasons, the 1921 Peace Dollar especially in MS65 is my most overrated collected coin. [IMG]http://i117.photobucket.com/albums/o59/ACPitBoss/CoinTalk%20Peace%20Dollars/1921PeaceDollar.jpg[/IMG] Some of the other coins that made my short list were as follows: 1883 "NO CENTS" Liberty Nickel in any grade below MS65 1950-D Jefferson Nickel in any grade. This coin drives a higher price because of it's original mintage yet it is not rare in any grade (excluding FS MS67) 1949-S Roosevelt Dime in any grade. See comments about 1950-D Jefferson Nickel. 1881-S Morgan Dollar in any grade below MS67. The population of this coin in MS66 is 23363/4451 yet it is valued at over $250.[/QUOTE]
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