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<p>[QUOTE="World Colonial, post: 2499784, member: 78153"]I'm only extracting this part of your post, but my reply is to all of it.</p><p><br /></p><p>Can't speak for this particular buyer but I don't completely agree with you. There are a lot of (supposedly) very affluent people whose financial position is dependent upon the current asset, credit and debt mania. Their wealth has been inflated by artificially cheap money and unsustainably low credit standards. </p><p><br /></p><p>Under actually adverse circumstances, many of them can and will become forced sellers, just like anyone else. The only reason this was not noticeable in 2008-2009 is because the financial stress was temporary. Even if they aren't, as other prior sales show, they may sell anyway either because they have little interest in collecting or think prices might fall further.</p><p><br /></p><p>In general, the only reason I can see why anyone would hold the opinion of the OP is because of the credit bubble. This is the actual reason assets have increased in value across the board for so long; particularly since the 1970's for coins. It isn't because coins are a hedge against "uncertainty", inflation or anything else.</p><p><br /></p><p>I agree with you that it only takes one other buyer but the same could be said about many equally scarce but much cheaper coins who have a lot more potential buyers who can afford it, as opposed to the common US coins selling in the price range cited here. From what I can see, they are susceptible to losing more value because they are less liquid and I believe the same applies to this coin though maybe to a lesser degree.</p><p><br /></p><p>With this coin, its one I'd consider highly compelling, maybe in the top four from 20th century coinage, depending upon criteria.</p><p><br /></p><p>At the same time, high quality preferred British coins have ALREADY increased a lot over the last 10 years, to my knowledge. As one example, I recall Goldberg selling an 1839 Una and the Lion for about $25 in 2005 or near it. Today, the same or similar coin is worth $150k. I believe other proof gold and crowns (such as the Gothic) have also increased, a lot. Same applies to choice "lowly" 1953 proof singles and proof sets.</p><p><br /></p><p>So if this anecdotal data is fairly representative of the recent performance of British coins, is a current buyer likely buying them prior to another (major) run up? Or closer to or at a market top? I think you know my answer.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="World Colonial, post: 2499784, member: 78153"]I'm only extracting this part of your post, but my reply is to all of it. Can't speak for this particular buyer but I don't completely agree with you. There are a lot of (supposedly) very affluent people whose financial position is dependent upon the current asset, credit and debt mania. Their wealth has been inflated by artificially cheap money and unsustainably low credit standards. Under actually adverse circumstances, many of them can and will become forced sellers, just like anyone else. The only reason this was not noticeable in 2008-2009 is because the financial stress was temporary. Even if they aren't, as other prior sales show, they may sell anyway either because they have little interest in collecting or think prices might fall further. In general, the only reason I can see why anyone would hold the opinion of the OP is because of the credit bubble. This is the actual reason assets have increased in value across the board for so long; particularly since the 1970's for coins. It isn't because coins are a hedge against "uncertainty", inflation or anything else. I agree with you that it only takes one other buyer but the same could be said about many equally scarce but much cheaper coins who have a lot more potential buyers who can afford it, as opposed to the common US coins selling in the price range cited here. From what I can see, they are susceptible to losing more value because they are less liquid and I believe the same applies to this coin though maybe to a lesser degree. With this coin, its one I'd consider highly compelling, maybe in the top four from 20th century coinage, depending upon criteria. At the same time, high quality preferred British coins have ALREADY increased a lot over the last 10 years, to my knowledge. As one example, I recall Goldberg selling an 1839 Una and the Lion for about $25 in 2005 or near it. Today, the same or similar coin is worth $150k. I believe other proof gold and crowns (such as the Gothic) have also increased, a lot. Same applies to choice "lowly" 1953 proof singles and proof sets. So if this anecdotal data is fairly representative of the recent performance of British coins, is a current buyer likely buying them prior to another (major) run up? Or closer to or at a market top? I think you know my answer.[/QUOTE]
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