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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 1320594, member: 68"]It's not like I haven't been watching it.</p><p><br /></p><p>It's hard to stay ontopic of just the past ten years though. Though there are probably lots of winners from the past ten years but it takes time to tell survivorship. It's tough to predict future demand so low mintages might not be a sign of a sure winner. Any of the low mintages and apparently low survivorship coins are definite candidates though. </p><p><br /></p><p>If you look farther back then it's easier to predict coins that will be winners because they have some track record. Of course many of these are still waiting for a little demand to develope to have much effect on their prices. Some highly desirable coins like the '82-NMM dimes still exist in hoards that will put off increases until the hoards have all been sold. </p><p><br /></p><p>I really like the coins that are in the "sweet spot" of the grading scale. Sure the pop tops get all the attention and big increases but that's because demand is still very small and there's ample supply of coins that are "merely" gem. Among my favorites are cents from '69, '75, 79-D, & '84-D, in nice attractive chUnc. This means near gem. The amount of demand for something like an attractive '84-D penny is staggering but the supply is severly constrained. In nickels almost everything in near gem or full blazing gem without full steps is remarkably underpriced. Most nickels that are clean AND well stuck are quite scarce. I like the '68 DDO dime. This is fairly common but a lot of people will want at least one example of a modern DDO and this coin is available. Since it can be found in mint sets it makes it more desirable and more attainable. Most of the clad dimes aren't very tough in gem but this is the sweet spot for these; gem. As few as 2% of some dime dates in the mint sets are gem so lots of collectors chasing 2% of surviving mint set mintage could have a major impact. Most clad dimes are probably scarcer in unc than the '50-D nickel and only 5 to 10 percent are gemmy. Only 2 to 5 percent are gem. Quarters are my favorite and always have been but they are no longer runaway favorites. The survivrship of these is very poor and the quality tends to be lower as well. There are numerous varieties though most are too rare to get mass appeal. There are some that will be highly attractive because they can still be found in circulation and once everyone is looking hundreds of G, VG and F examples will start being found. Higher grades will be rare and these lower grades will not be at all common. It makes an interesting situation where there are no mid-grades and this will raise their appeal as well. I'm not crazy about Kennedys except in very high grades and with clean shields on the reverse. These are a little tougher than quarters in high grade so if the demand ever comes around the price could go high. Ikes are great in the sweet spot and most Ikes have one. My favorite is a nice chUnc+ 1976 type I. It doesn't even have to be near gem, just a nice attractive coin. Another that is overlooked is the 1974 with nice attractive surfaces. These come beat up in rolls and mint set coins usually have unattractive surfaces. PL's of this date are very rare (if they exist). Nice MS-64 coins are needed here. All the '71 and '72 Ikes are elusive in nice attractive unc. The '78-D comes really nice so the fairly "common" MS-65's get overlooked. the '79-S SBA in gem is underappreciated. </p><p><br /></p><p>Don't forget the proofs. It might or might not be a good idea to look at these but they are beautiful coins. And they are pretty cheap. I don't think it can hurt to set aside a few sets with nice choice coins especially of dates where the uncs are bad like 1982. Commems are tougher to figure as are the eagles and various special issues. I don't want to worry about set premiums but for those who are it might be a good idea to set aside things like early souvenir sets or '81 SBA sets. Early prestige sets are just about free. Silver proof sets are getting melted like there's no tomorrow but there probably will be. Don't assume all the states coins are going to be junk. There are millions of collectors and they aren't going to stop just because the series did. The coins in circulation might attract new collectors who aren't even born yet or the children of those yet unborn. You can't just go out and buy a few dozen nice choice WY quarters that aren't SF. Most collectors don't have nice examples of many of these and when they go to upgrade the supply could be long gone. </p><p><br /></p><p>Coin collecting has always been a lot of fun and one of the biggest parts of the fun is with new issues but this went way out of style in 1965. I still believe it is going to come back. People are going to start saving brand new coin again for future collectors and they are going to collect the copins that have been used in commerce since 1965.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 1320594, member: 68"]It's not like I haven't been watching it. It's hard to stay ontopic of just the past ten years though. Though there are probably lots of winners from the past ten years but it takes time to tell survivorship. It's tough to predict future demand so low mintages might not be a sign of a sure winner. Any of the low mintages and apparently low survivorship coins are definite candidates though. If you look farther back then it's easier to predict coins that will be winners because they have some track record. Of course many of these are still waiting for a little demand to develope to have much effect on their prices. Some highly desirable coins like the '82-NMM dimes still exist in hoards that will put off increases until the hoards have all been sold. I really like the coins that are in the "sweet spot" of the grading scale. Sure the pop tops get all the attention and big increases but that's because demand is still very small and there's ample supply of coins that are "merely" gem. Among my favorites are cents from '69, '75, 79-D, & '84-D, in nice attractive chUnc. This means near gem. The amount of demand for something like an attractive '84-D penny is staggering but the supply is severly constrained. In nickels almost everything in near gem or full blazing gem without full steps is remarkably underpriced. Most nickels that are clean AND well stuck are quite scarce. I like the '68 DDO dime. This is fairly common but a lot of people will want at least one example of a modern DDO and this coin is available. Since it can be found in mint sets it makes it more desirable and more attainable. Most of the clad dimes aren't very tough in gem but this is the sweet spot for these; gem. As few as 2% of some dime dates in the mint sets are gem so lots of collectors chasing 2% of surviving mint set mintage could have a major impact. Most clad dimes are probably scarcer in unc than the '50-D nickel and only 5 to 10 percent are gemmy. Only 2 to 5 percent are gem. Quarters are my favorite and always have been but they are no longer runaway favorites. The survivrship of these is very poor and the quality tends to be lower as well. There are numerous varieties though most are too rare to get mass appeal. There are some that will be highly attractive because they can still be found in circulation and once everyone is looking hundreds of G, VG and F examples will start being found. Higher grades will be rare and these lower grades will not be at all common. It makes an interesting situation where there are no mid-grades and this will raise their appeal as well. I'm not crazy about Kennedys except in very high grades and with clean shields on the reverse. These are a little tougher than quarters in high grade so if the demand ever comes around the price could go high. Ikes are great in the sweet spot and most Ikes have one. My favorite is a nice chUnc+ 1976 type I. It doesn't even have to be near gem, just a nice attractive coin. Another that is overlooked is the 1974 with nice attractive surfaces. These come beat up in rolls and mint set coins usually have unattractive surfaces. PL's of this date are very rare (if they exist). Nice MS-64 coins are needed here. All the '71 and '72 Ikes are elusive in nice attractive unc. The '78-D comes really nice so the fairly "common" MS-65's get overlooked. the '79-S SBA in gem is underappreciated. Don't forget the proofs. It might or might not be a good idea to look at these but they are beautiful coins. And they are pretty cheap. I don't think it can hurt to set aside a few sets with nice choice coins especially of dates where the uncs are bad like 1982. Commems are tougher to figure as are the eagles and various special issues. I don't want to worry about set premiums but for those who are it might be a good idea to set aside things like early souvenir sets or '81 SBA sets. Early prestige sets are just about free. Silver proof sets are getting melted like there's no tomorrow but there probably will be. Don't assume all the states coins are going to be junk. There are millions of collectors and they aren't going to stop just because the series did. The coins in circulation might attract new collectors who aren't even born yet or the children of those yet unborn. You can't just go out and buy a few dozen nice choice WY quarters that aren't SF. Most collectors don't have nice examples of many of these and when they go to upgrade the supply could be long gone. Coin collecting has always been a lot of fun and one of the biggest parts of the fun is with new issues but this went way out of style in 1965. I still believe it is going to come back. People are going to start saving brand new coin again for future collectors and they are going to collect the copins that have been used in commerce since 1965.[/QUOTE]
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