Modern Commemorative Silver $1 Proofs, things I THINK I have learned, but please set me straight...

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom, Sep 14, 2017.

  1. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    It wasn't until after then that moderns started getting graded in the quantity they are today, back then most people thought they were a waste of time to grade which clearly some still do. Few is any monster boxes were going to the TPGs, collectors weren't searching for submission examples like they are now, large purchases weren't going right to the TPGs ect. Of course there weren't any 70s before 64 no one was looking for them or sending them in, even with all the attention now there are only a handful
     
    Last edited: Sep 15, 2017
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  3. Kentucky

    Kentucky Supporter! Supporter

    BTW, people are talking about MS70's, how about PR70?
     
  4. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    PR 70s for the pre-64, the rest can kind of be either but the vast vast vast majority of MS 70 are NCLT things like commemoratives and ASEs. PCGS only has 19 MS 70s in the entire Lincoln/Jefferson/Roosevelt/Washington run and they are all 2013 Quarters. The vast majority of those series don't even have a 69 and many barely have a 68 if they even have one
     
  5. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Either you misread what I said, or I'm misreading what you just said. But what I said was -

    Prior to 2004 when the TPGs started changing their standards there were no coins dated prior to 1964 graded as a 70.

    The TPGs came into existence in 1986 and for 20 years people were very actively looking for and sending in any and every coin that even thought might make the 70 grade - MS or PF. But there never was any, not even 1 coin dated 64 or earlier. Not until they changed their standards in 2004.

    The numbers I gave above, those numbers were MS and PF combined, not just one or the other. In just 1 year, 1 year, the total number of coins graded as a 70, MS and PF both, jumped from about 10,000 to over 100,000.

    And bear in mind it took 20 years to reach that 10,000 number. But in only 1 year 10 times that number were graded 70 ! Today, the total number of coins grading 70 is approaching 10,000,000.
     
    Mad Stax likes this.
  6. calcol

    calcol Supporter! Supporter

    Some folks submit recently minted commemoratives and bullion coins for grading for reasons other than potential profit:

    a. Curiosity as to what grade the experts will assign.

    b. Slabs offer better protection than most mint packaging.

    c. Slabs provide packaging with uniform geometry which makes storage and handling easier.

    d. They like the look of slabs, especially those with special labels.

    e. Get high quality pics for little extra cost.

    f. Easier to compare coins with fellow collectors.

    g. Easier to get interest of non-collectors in coin in a slab than a raw coin. I've noticed that if I hand a non-collector a raw coin they ask few or no questions and hand it back. If I hand them a coin in a slab, they show more interest and ask more questions.

    h. Confirm a variety.

    i. Registry.

    j. Belief that the grade of the coin will have a fixed minimum forever.

    Cal
     
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  7. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    I don't disagree with there being other reasons for some folks Cal. I'd even add another reason to your list - bragging rights.

    But I'd bet money that if you took all those other reasons and combined them, those doing it for profit alone would still greatly outnumber them.

    The truly sad part about it is that those buying these coins just because they are 70s, and paying a premium to do so - simply don't know any better. They don't realize that sometimes as many as 85% or more of all coins submitted for a single issue are graded as a 70.

    In other words, you may as well just keep the ones you get from the mint and save your money because the TPGs will call almost all of then a 70 too.
     
    onecenter likes this.
  8. calcol

    calcol Supporter! Supporter

    Doug, I agree that profit is the main motive in most cases, especially if it's based on number of coins submitted versus number of submitters. Some dealers send in massive numbers of coins because they get good rates from the grading services. I've also heard that some dealers negotiate early deliveries of new issues from various mints so they can get them into slabs first and sell at a premium.

    Cal
     
  9. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    It was a miscommunication between us. I was referring to coins dated prior to 64 for the grades. What I was saying that for much of the existence of the TPGs the vast majority of the market and collectors viewed more modern dated coins as not worth being graded. It wasn't until sometime in the 2000s when more recently dated coins started being submitted more by dealers and collectors started looking for higher graded examples to submit. Given that it's logical to me that 70s would go up and a few dated prior to 64 would appear when before they would have never been submitted.
     
  10. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    Only if you went on a coin by coin basis. In terms of people you can count the number of dealers on your fingers that are responsible for putting the majority of ASEs/Commems/Ultra Modern Proofs into the market. It's just to hard/not worth it for most people to compete with their buying power and their grading rates.

    That's very rare for a series to do that well though the EU set this year is trying it's best too. Almost always when you see numbers like that it's just because they had 70s as a minimum grade on the submission.
     
  11. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Yeah I agree with that. In fact it's still true to a large degree. A large percentage of collectors and dealers alike still refuse to have anything to do with modern coins, with modern being defined as anything minted after 1964.

    As a matter of fact, until 2001 NGC flat out refused to even grade coins minted after 1964. But even once NGC started grading moderns in 2001, between then and the end of 2003 a coin, any coin, graded a 70 was a true scarcity. Back then even an ASE graded a 70 might sell for as much as $5,000 on a regular basis. Some of them 7 or 8 thousand.

    But it wasn't that they weren't submitting the moderns prior to the 2000's, they had been submitting them all along to PCGS. And then NGC too in 2001. At the end of 2003 there were millions of moderns that had been graded 69 by both companies.

    So everybody was trying to get the 70 grade all along, they just couldn't get them because the TPG grading standards were what they should be, what they always had been. But in 2004 when they all changed standards, greatly loosened them, the number of 70 coins literally exploded exponentially. And in the last 7 or 8 years, they exploded again because the TPGs loosened standards even more than they did in 2004.
     
  12. giorgio11

    giorgio11 Senior Numismatist

    I think the Registry Set phenomenon deserves more credit for the increase in numbers of 70-'perfect'-graded coins that it has perhaps gotten. As collectors increasingly list their individual coin holdings, at least at PCGS it encourages them to start new sets by showing all the different collections those pieces fit into. Start a new set, voilà, all of a sudden you are competing with 68 others building the same set. If you want The Finest Set, all of a sudden you need 70s (or 67s or 68s or whatever for many of the older sets). Prices zoom up for those pieces -- temporarily.

    Then, in come the crackout artists and the modern coin dealers who make it their business to upgrade coins or to create more of a certain issue in top grades. All of a sudden, a coin in top grade that was Pop 5 is now Pop 15, or 25. And guess what happens? Prices slump.

    This is a totally normal supply-and-demand cycle that happens in numismatics. This has happened to me personally back when I was doing a top-grade Registry Set of Kennedy halves. It is true, however, that older coins that are rare will remain rare. They aren't making many upgrades on 18th century gold, not near to the extent of modern issues.

    Kind regards,

    George
     
  13. Jwt708

    Jwt708 Well-Known Member

    This thead is posted in Coin Chat so I would like to chime in a little...

    Have you considered ancient coins? It's something new to learn, you get to touch them, and they have super cool themes. Since you like silver, I'm going to use the coin below to illustrate my point:

    [​IMG]
    The above silver coin is called a denarius, slightly larger than a U.S. dime at 19mm, and it was minted 116-115 BC. This coin was minted to commemorate the heroic deeds of Marcus Sergius, who we see on the the reverse holding a severed head. I'm going to let Roman historian Pliny explain why this guy is cool:

    Nobody - at least in my opinion - can rightly rank any man above Marcus Sergius, although his great-grandson Catiline shames his name. In his second campaign Sergius lost his right hand. In two campaigns he was wounded twenty-three times, with the result that he had no use in either hand or either foot: only his spirit remained intact. Although disabled, Sergius served in many subsequent campaigns. He was twice captured by Hannibal - no ordinary foe- from whom twice he escaped, although kept in chains and shackles every day for twenty months. He fought four times with only his left hand, while two horses he was riding were stabbed beneath him.

    He had a right hand made of iron for him and, going into battle with this bound to his arm, raised the siege of Cremona, saved Placentia and captured twelve enemy camps in Gaul - all of which exploits were confirmed by the speech he made as praetor when his colleagues tried to debar him as infirm from the sacrifices. What piles of wreaths he would have amassed in the face of a different enemy!

    Natural History,
    Book 7 Chapter 28

    Maybe ancient Greece might have something that interest you more?

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]

    There are some threads going on right now in the ancient section for what kinds of coins you can expect for different amounts, should you be interested.
     
  14. SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom

    SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom Well-Known Member

    Ha. Silver Willie doesn't gamble.

    I'm really not mostly concerned about MAKING money here, actually. What I AM concerned about is just buying the holder and the grade over the coin itself. Kinda like whether you prefer seeing animals in the wild, in a natural habitat, or in a zoo, all caged up.

    As an example, I just completed an MS65 War Nickel Collection, and in doing so, I got rid of the PCGS dates/mint marks because the holders clashed aesthetically. Now, I have a nice set of NGC coins, all in their precious little school uniforms, all in a row. It's like when we were forced to buy gym shorts from a local dry goods store that had the school district logo on them, and you'd get a lower grade in GYM if you wore cutoffs or other non complying shorts.

    I had a gorgeous BU 1945-S, raw, but I wasn't going to spend basically what it was worth to encase it like a fly in amber, so I bought an NGC holdered one.

    We are becoming Sneetches...
    [​IMG]
    Thanks for making me think,
     
  15. SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom

    SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom Well-Known Member

    I ALMOST bought a Cassie McFarland autograph slab because I think she's cute, and I like her curves even more than the coin.
     
  16. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    In not to many years I'll be a 70 and definitely not MS; maybe BS.
     
  17. SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom

    SilverWilliesCoinsdotcom Well-Known Member

    Actually, I AM talking mostly about proofs. This all started with the bluebox fuzzy clasp close display case US MINT paper COA $1 Silver Dollar Commemoratives.
     
  18. Kentucky

    Kentucky Supporter! Supporter

    If I am not mistaken, high grading proofs are more common than high grading commercial strikes because of the care taken in producing the proof coins.
     
  19. Conder101

    Conder101 Numismatist

    I took the lower grade, didn't see any sense in paying the extra money especially since I already had perfectly good shorts and had no need to buy more.
     
  20. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    I forgot all about those times and having to wear school directed gym clothes. Half the time the jocks didn't have to dress or participate in class on game days. Back then PE factored in ones GPA. Even though I had perfect attendance all I could normally get was a C which was my lowest grades in all classes. I was tall and very uncoordinated at that age and got penalized for that. That said, what does that have to do with coin collecting:)
     
  21. Conder101

    Conder101 Numismatist

    Lots of foolish things figured into GPA, most noticeably homework. I gave up on homework in the fifth grade, it was worthless busy work. I also stopped class participation (another GPA hit). I just took the tests (all A's on those). I considered public school a waste of time. Except for the more advanced math and my chemistry classes, the public school presented no new material after about the fourth grade. The last 8 years was nothing but repetition of previous material. (I was stuck in a lousy school system and it just got worse after the 8th grade when court ordered busing resulted in the entire budget not earmarked for salaries went to fuel for the buses. No equipment, no supplies, no books. At that point all pretense of education went out the window.)
     
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