Featured Market Grading vs. Technical Grading

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by mikenoodle, Dec 10, 2010.

  1. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Not necessarily, Doug. People follow the loudest voice, very often, as I don't think that you're any David Hall. However, I find this debate somewhat tiresome, as it isn't really about coins, but more about how one thinks that third parties deal with said coins. Have it your way, Doug. Don't feel like fighting--I agree to disagree with you over the accuracy and importance of TPGs.
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2015
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  3. Clutchy

    Clutchy Well-Known Member

    I don't feel the TPGs should get any deeper into the condition of a coin, other than the amount of wear it has and if its authentic or not. Who are they to determine eye appeal and set a standard on what is attractive and what is not? The Mona Lisa is one of the ugliest paintings I've ever seen and can not figure out for the life of me why its so famous. But the piece is priceless and its not because of one person's opinion. And if I was looked upon to determine its value, it wouldn't receive much. Look at my avatar. Some feel that cream colored blotch in the field in front of the portrait is a distraction mark, where I feel it gives the coin character. And other's look at a fire engine red 09s VDB and praise the dipped coin, knowingly or not. To each is own when it comes to liking a coin or not.
     
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  4. Clutchy

    Clutchy Well-Known Member

    And now the TPGs are not enough for a lot of people. If it the coin doesn't have a bean, they skip right over it.....

    Im starting a company that will determine if the CAC's is determining if the TPGs are determining coins correctly. Who has the bread to help me get this off the ground? The double bean will be the new standard.
     
  5. ToughCOINS

    ToughCOINS Dealer Member Moderator

    The grading system exists solely to correlate the condition of a coin to a gross pricing mechanism for those who do not know the market well enough to rely upon their own knowledge.

    Those who know the market well make the transactions which the publishers of price guides later learn of and eventually reflect with adjustments. That is why those who buy strictly based on price history are always behind the curve, whether the market is trending up or down.

    I feel that technical grading is all that is needed, and that the addition of a premium for exceptional appeal, or penalizing a coin for some shortcoming should be left to the buyer.

    While technical grading does little to protect the lazy investor who cares little for learning the nuances associated with assigning value to a technically graded coin, I think it would be much better for the hobby at large. We collectors would have less deep pocket competition, less market volatility to contend with, more nice coins available to collectors of modest means, and therefore more new collectors . . . especially the young.

    The only downside to tecghnical grading in my mind is that the market would shed those who don't really care about coins in the first place . . . A bad thing? I personally don't think so.

    - Mike
     
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  6. Vegas Vic

    Vegas Vic Undermedicated psychiatric patient

    My issue with market grading is anyone selling toned coins is not going to ask for market grade prices but technical plus toning premium.
     
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  7. Lehigh96

    Lehigh96 Toning Enthusiast

    I'm sorry Mike, but that post is pure garbage. TPGs were created remove the bias of dealers grading their own coins. If as a result of third party grading, some collectors/investors have decided not to learn about coin grading, that is not the fault or intention of the TPGs.

    Furthermore, you think that the hobby of coin collecting would be better served by less collectors, less money, and lower prices because it will spur young people to become coin collectors. I think that is insane. Children often find coin collecting an enjoyable hobby. By the time they become teenagers, 99% of those child collectors start spending all of their money on girls, cars, girls, college, girls, partying, girls, and did I mention GIRLS. Often, when those collectors reach their middle age years and are married with children, many rediscover the hobby. That dynamic of collecting has existed long before the inception of the TPGs.

    IMO, being exclusionary to the uninformed is the perfect recipe to kill the hobby, not save it.
     
  8. ToughCOINS

    ToughCOINS Dealer Member Moderator

    I sense confusion around ill-defined terminology here.

    Do you not regard market pricing as the same thing as technical grading plus or minus an adjustment?
     
  9. Vegas Vic

    Vegas Vic Undermedicated psychiatric patient

    My point is the adjustment when a pq or toned coin sells is frequently disregarded in concept i.e. The seller wants the value of the grade as if it were technical graded plus the value of the toning. Example given- a nicely toned Morgan. it seems like when it is a market ms65 that the asking price is adjusted up from ms65, as though the base price is a ms65 and then a premium added for toning. not priced at ms 65 for net grade.
     
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  10. ToughCOINS

    ToughCOINS Dealer Member Moderator

    I respect your opinion, while at the same time differing.

    Third party grading was the brainchild of Alan Hagar, the founder of ACCUGRADE. While that was third party grading for all other sellers who submitted their coins to him for grading, it was actually first party grading when he was assigning grades to his own coins . . .

    PCGS, and later NGC started grading technically, and "evolved" into market grading afterward. Why? Because their initial expectation was that absolute grading standards would deal with the iniquities of sellers grading their own coins. Unfortunately, they discovered late in the game that those who did not fully appreciate the positive / negative attributes of coins outside the norm for a given technical grade needed some help.

    Thus the introduction of market grading, which helps the helpless, but often confuses those adept at technical grading.

    So which is better? After all, the market had better all settle on one system, or the confusion will not go away.

    If I have to choose between having a significant portion of the best coins being soaked up by the intentionally ignorant, and most coins being far more available and affordable to the masses, I choose the latter.

    For those of you who would rather have a market eventually built on fewer participants and less affordable coins, I think time is your enemy.
     
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  11. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    Wow, what a read, I'll stay out of it.

    @-jeffB I'm glad this topic isn't getting sidetracked into another drawn-out discussion about GDJMSP's resume.:smuggrin: Keep up the good fight.
     
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2015
  12. Lehigh96

    Lehigh96 Toning Enthusiast

    You won't see me defending Hagar, but that was not the intention of the TPGs that currently control the market, NGC & PCGS. And yes, both NGC & PCGS adjusted their grading standards in the early years but I seriously doubt your stated reason.

    I would be interested in how market grading helps the helpless, but often confuses those adept at technical grading. Can you explain this further, with examples maybe?

    Whether intentionally ignorant or knowledgeable numismatists, the best coins will always wind up in the hands with those with money. Furthermore, I think you are severely overestimating the number of "intentionally ignorant" who are supposedly making coins unaffordable to the masses. Usually, I agree with your posts, but in this instance, I must vehemently disagree as this sounds more like a conspiracy theory.
     
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  13. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    I'll toss this one in for the sake of the thread. I'd call it an "oops" grade, I think. Gotta love the accessibility of two different sets of images...

    http://www.ngccoin.com/certlookup/index.aspx?CertNumber=2792982-047

    Screen shot 2015-01-19 at 6.35.04 PM.png

    Screen shot 2015-01-19 at 6.38.32 PM.png
     
  14. okbustchaser

    okbustchaser I may be old but I still appreciate a pretty bust Supporter

    The problem with market grading is that dealers want to price their coins based on the bumped up market grade and still charge a premium for eye appeal. Collectors then end up paying two premiums rather than one.
     
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  15. A problem like this comes to mind when grading the British florins of Edward Vll which were minted between 1902 to 1910. Some dealers will grade the coins at VF or better but because the digits of the date are high, they allow the one or the nine to be worn or only just discernable.
     
  16. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    How loose can a TPG grading standard become, as it is scrutinized and accessible worldwide with photograde and photo references in the thousands, for comparable grades?

    How can you verify, that the standard before TPGs was strict, when they didn't even have cell phones back then? What proof and references can you possibly provide in equal quantity, for comparison, regarding how loose word grading was?
     
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2015
  17. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    Yes, but, if you start out collecting coins in top 4 TPG slabs, most are accurate and you are in a much better position, through their experience, to spot the slabbed problem coin or mistake. What reference of any significant quality can you have, that will help you spot the problem coin, when buying raw or old word grading?
     
  18. Lehigh96

    Lehigh96 Toning Enthusiast

    In my experience with toned coins that actually achieve a grade bump, the toning and resultant eye appeal is usually so incredible that price guides don't really apply to those coins. The coins are usually worth many multiples of the price guide of both the technical grade and the "bumped up" market grade.

    That said, there are many toned coin collectors who base the value of the toned coin on the base price guide. For example, maybe a collector thinks a rainbow toned MS65 Morgan Dollar is worth 4X price guide, but he doesn't notice that the coin is actually an MS64 that has been bumped to MS65 for the color. In this case, he would be paying a double premium. However, I submit that if you are going to enter the toned coin market, you absolutely need to know what you are doing. Even those who are in tune with the market will end up making mistakes and get buried in a coin here or there.
     
  19. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    That is excellent news, more amazing coins for the rest of us, and under budget.;)
     
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  20. torontokuba

    torontokuba Thread Crapper & Hijacker, TP please.

    Spoken like a true dealer or investor. Really, how much does a true collector really care about up or down price trends? Believe it or not, they may just buy the coin for the passion, eye appeal, pleasure of owning it, fully knowing they are in a bidding war, because ten other real collectors are seeing and feeling the same things they are. There is a lot of emotion involved in hobbies. It;s not just about the shallow dealer or investor looking at PRICE, PRICE, PRICE. There are also plenty of unique categories that are not governed by up or down trends (patterns, errors, toners, etc.).
     
  21. ToughCOINS

    ToughCOINS Dealer Member Moderator

    Really? To what other reason would you attribute a conscious shift by the TPG's from technical grading to market grading, especially when that shift caused such foreseeable discontent among those who had learned to grade according to then prevailing technical standards?


    Helping the helpless is easy to explain. If a coin technically satisfies the requirements of an MS66, but is covered in ugly toning, market grading would attentuate the grade and the corresponding value to something lesser so that a buyer unqualified to determine value on his / her own is less likely to overpay.

    As for confusion, the simplest example I can give you that most should be able to relate to is poor agreement with the grading criteria published by PCGS, the ANA and Photograde. Following those standards, there is little / no accounting for subjective appeal, or the lack thereof in assigning a grade - only technical considerations such as strike, luster, wear and marks.

    For adherents to those strict technical guidelines, a meaningful adjustment in the grade of a coin for some other factor usually evokes a response that the coin is either overgraded or undergraded. I can't count the number of times that a coin having beautiful toning over the marks of an MS63, and graded MS65 results in third party grading being called a scam. I'm generalizing, of course, but those collectors resent having spent much time and effort learning to grade, only to have the tables turned on them.


    Less skilled buyers generally bathe in overgraded, overpriced and misrepresented coins before they acquire the skills necessary to avoid those pitfalls.

    Collectors with the passion to persist through those experiences and the inclination to strengthen their skills end up building meaningful collections without paying unfairly for the enjoyment derived from the hobby. That takes time and study, and is called paying one's dues.

    Investors on the other hand, after taking a beating, usually lick their wounds and move on to another vehicle. Had the TPG's not re-attracted the disenchanted investment community with market grading to substantially relieve them of the need to learn, they may never have come back to invest in coins again.

    With market grading now in place, investors are back, not needing to acquire the requisite skills, yet less afraid of buying technically graded coins having some unrecognized downside.

    If the market reverted to technical grading again, the investors would suffer another round of bruising, and likely not return for more punishment. While the best coins would still be soaked up by the deepest pockets, an awful lot of good coins would not be, and those would experience a demand-driven correction.

    Of all of the collections I've acquired over the years, I cannot count on two hands the number of "collections" I have purchased from profit-driven individuals who aggressively sunk strong money into technically graded coins that were not worth nominal money for the grades assigned.

    In most of those cases, their sentiment at the time was that coins are a terrible investment. I know for sure that a few of those people are now back at it again, and suspect the others may be as well. That might not be the case if the TPGs hadn't replaced technical grading with market grading.
     
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