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<p>[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 1829135, member: 19463"]This seems pretty much in keeping with what I would call reason. Suppose each day you turned loose on the market 100 coins. Of these, some would be bought and enter someone's collection not to be seen again for a long time. Others would be returned to the market by dealers/speculators. Of those a few would be skimmed off the top into collections and the rest would recycle again in some form in the market. Each cycle would see a few nicer coins retired so eventually the original group is reduced to mostly coins no one really wanted in the long term. Every so often someone will sell their collection so those selected coins will reenter but many will enter higher up according to how good the coins were. Only the lower end collections will recycle to eBay with mid grades (most of ours except for a couple who will be CNG or better) probably going to VCoins type dealers. This will continue until there are more old collectors dying than there are new collectors entering the market at which time there will be a glut on the market of nice coins no one wants. If this seems ridiculous look at the hobby of bell collecting. My wife joined a local chapter of the American Bell Association forty years ago and is still one of the younger members. We have attended several sales of collections that went for less than was paid in the 1970-1990 period when the now 90 year olds were actively competing for antique bells of quality. Bells have the difference from ancient coins that few new ones are found (no hoard material of things from the 1800's). Junk sells at flea markets but heirs to a thousand old bells have more trouble finding a buyer. Will ancient coins be in demand in 2050?[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 1829135, member: 19463"]This seems pretty much in keeping with what I would call reason. Suppose each day you turned loose on the market 100 coins. Of these, some would be bought and enter someone's collection not to be seen again for a long time. Others would be returned to the market by dealers/speculators. Of those a few would be skimmed off the top into collections and the rest would recycle again in some form in the market. Each cycle would see a few nicer coins retired so eventually the original group is reduced to mostly coins no one really wanted in the long term. Every so often someone will sell their collection so those selected coins will reenter but many will enter higher up according to how good the coins were. Only the lower end collections will recycle to eBay with mid grades (most of ours except for a couple who will be CNG or better) probably going to VCoins type dealers. This will continue until there are more old collectors dying than there are new collectors entering the market at which time there will be a glut on the market of nice coins no one wants. If this seems ridiculous look at the hobby of bell collecting. My wife joined a local chapter of the American Bell Association forty years ago and is still one of the younger members. We have attended several sales of collections that went for less than was paid in the 1970-1990 period when the now 90 year olds were actively competing for antique bells of quality. Bells have the difference from ancient coins that few new ones are found (no hoard material of things from the 1800's). Junk sells at flea markets but heirs to a thousand old bells have more trouble finding a buyer. Will ancient coins be in demand in 2050?[/QUOTE]
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