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<p>[QUOTE="Conder101, post: 7991663, member: 66"]Damage, scratches, mishandling etc doesn't reduce survival rate. It reduces the rate in the top condition, but not the overall rate. Pretty much only melting them down will reduce the overall rate and unless these things drop down to melt value that probably isn't going to happen to all that many of them</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>I expect that to be a short term effect of the 100th anniversary and in a few years they will be back down in the $35 to $45 dollar range. Speculations and short term fads are nothing new. I remember back in the first couple years of slabs when MS-65 1881 S dollars were going for close to $1000 each. A few years later they were back down to $50 or less. there are just too many MS-63 1921 Morgans to support a $100 price tag.</p><p><br /></p><p>Even as some of the rarest Morgans, there are still more of them available that there are serious date/mint collectors. I would not be surprised to see these selling below issue price within less than 10 years. Maybe less than five.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Conder101, post: 7991663, member: 66"]Damage, scratches, mishandling etc doesn't reduce survival rate. It reduces the rate in the top condition, but not the overall rate. Pretty much only melting them down will reduce the overall rate and unless these things drop down to melt value that probably isn't going to happen to all that many of them I expect that to be a short term effect of the 100th anniversary and in a few years they will be back down in the $35 to $45 dollar range. Speculations and short term fads are nothing new. I remember back in the first couple years of slabs when MS-65 1881 S dollars were going for close to $1000 each. A few years later they were back down to $50 or less. there are just too many MS-63 1921 Morgans to support a $100 price tag. Even as some of the rarest Morgans, there are still more of them available that there are serious date/mint collectors. I would not be surprised to see these selling below issue price within less than 10 years. Maybe less than five.[/QUOTE]
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