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Is this Caracalla Provincial a die match?
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<p>[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 2669133, member: 19463"]It depends on which coins. There are rare coins, Imperial or Provincial, that are only known from one die set. Overall, I'd say you are more likely to find matches in Provincials if you have several specimens but you are less likely to have those several specimens. All this depends on the assumption that dies were used until they failed and this simply is not true. Some coins might have been made for a special purpose so the order was placed for a set number. Some dies became obsolete when there was a change in the political scene. Caracalla killed Geta on December 26, 211. What day do you think the Rome mint stopped striking Geta coins? I suspect the perfectly serviceable Geta dies were melted before the body was cold. </p><p><br /></p><p>Finding a die match on a very common coin (lets say a Constantinian bronze) would be pure dumb luck unless you found a hoard straight from mint bag to the dirt. Die studies of common coins are hard. Statisticians will explain to you how to figure the likely number of dies that were used based on the number of dies you find in a given number of specimens. If you have 100 coins and all are the same die, there probably was only one die. If you find 100 different dies in your 100 coin sample, chances are you have not seen anywhere near all the existing dies. Perhaps our CT statistician will fill in the details here.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 2669133, member: 19463"]It depends on which coins. There are rare coins, Imperial or Provincial, that are only known from one die set. Overall, I'd say you are more likely to find matches in Provincials if you have several specimens but you are less likely to have those several specimens. All this depends on the assumption that dies were used until they failed and this simply is not true. Some coins might have been made for a special purpose so the order was placed for a set number. Some dies became obsolete when there was a change in the political scene. Caracalla killed Geta on December 26, 211. What day do you think the Rome mint stopped striking Geta coins? I suspect the perfectly serviceable Geta dies were melted before the body was cold. Finding a die match on a very common coin (lets say a Constantinian bronze) would be pure dumb luck unless you found a hoard straight from mint bag to the dirt. Die studies of common coins are hard. Statisticians will explain to you how to figure the likely number of dies that were used based on the number of dies you find in a given number of specimens. If you have 100 coins and all are the same die, there probably was only one die. If you find 100 different dies in your 100 coin sample, chances are you have not seen anywhere near all the existing dies. Perhaps our CT statistician will fill in the details here.[/QUOTE]
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