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<p>[QUOTE="calcol, post: 2776032, member: 77639"]You make good points, Kurt. When it comes to rarity, I think perception of permanence of rarity plays a role. We see this in several areas in numismatics. One is the possibility of discovery of a hoard; this is probably a bigger factor for ancient coins, but certainly has happened for U.S coins. GSA and SS Central America come to mind. Another concern is conditional rarity. If a Morgan dollar of a particular year and mint has only a few certified MS67s, it's possible that in a few years, there may be dozens. A last example is MS70 modern coins. Who knows how many thousands are in drawers and closets waiting to be certified?</p><p><br /></p><p>Yup, there are folks who don't consider these factors and who may or may not regret it. But a lot of serious collectors do consider these factors and put their money in coins with documented low mintages where a substantial proportion have appeared in the market. That way you know there never were very many and a new hoard is unlikely to appear.</p><p><br /></p><p>Cal[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="calcol, post: 2776032, member: 77639"]You make good points, Kurt. When it comes to rarity, I think perception of permanence of rarity plays a role. We see this in several areas in numismatics. One is the possibility of discovery of a hoard; this is probably a bigger factor for ancient coins, but certainly has happened for U.S coins. GSA and SS Central America come to mind. Another concern is conditional rarity. If a Morgan dollar of a particular year and mint has only a few certified MS67s, it's possible that in a few years, there may be dozens. A last example is MS70 modern coins. Who knows how many thousands are in drawers and closets waiting to be certified? Yup, there are folks who don't consider these factors and who may or may not regret it. But a lot of serious collectors do consider these factors and put their money in coins with documented low mintages where a substantial proportion have appeared in the market. That way you know there never were very many and a new hoard is unlikely to appear. Cal[/QUOTE]
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