Is it really possible that only PCGS and NGC get it right?

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by Jim Robinson, Nov 20, 2015.

  1. WingedLiberty

    WingedLiberty Well-Known Member

    If you did this, your eyes would be opened ...

    Take the same coin ... submit it to either PCGS or NGC ... you get a result back.

    Crack the coin out and resubmit raw (again) ... and you get another result back

    Do this 10 times.

    You will end up with a SPREAD of grades.

    For mint state grades, your results might range as much as 2 or 3 points ... perhaps from MS63 to MS65, for example.

    Or for circulated graded maybe 5 to 8 points AU50 to AU55, for example.

    If the coin was colorfully toned, you might get a few "Genuine - Questionable Color" results tossed in ... as well as some problem free grades.

    If it's a copper coin, you will probably also get a spread of color classifications ... sometimes BN, sometimes RB, sometimes RD or DC. I have some PCGS DC coins that are CLEARLY RB.

    Ultimately, when you submit a coin to a grading company its just an instantaneous opinion of 1 to 3 graders ... and opinions change (it might even depend on their mood, or perhaps the coins they saw just before yours, or what they had for lunch).

    So when you see a grade on a slab, realize that it's just an opinion and subject to change.

    it's probably even worse when you compare one grading company to another. One company's Proof 67 is another company's Proof 65.

    Side by side images are all the exact same coin by the way!

    I think that most grading company's try to get CLOSE to the true grade, but rarely hit it exactly. Grading is more of an art rather than a science.

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    Last edited: Nov 22, 2015
    micbraun, Santinidollar, NSP and 3 others like this.
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  3. David Setree Rare Coins

    David Setree Rare Coins Well-Known Member

    When all is said and done, it's still all just someone's opinion.
     
  4. David Setree Rare Coins

    David Setree Rare Coins Well-Known Member

    Funny. WingedLiberty and I had the same thought at the same moment but he beat me to the click by 60 seconds. Heh.
     
  5. bear32211

    bear32211 Always Learning

    I've enjoyed reading each comment on this subject because I have to learn, on the grading curve, who to trust. Give me 50 people and you will get 50 different answers. Give us grading companies, PCGS, NGC, ANACS, or ICG and you will get a different grade.
    How often have each of you gotten a coin or bill back and said, "No that grade should be higher, I'm not happy with that". You know "B.S.!" Perfect world, perfect grading services. The difference in going to Macy's and going to Wal-mart. Only as an example of course.
     
  6. WingedLiberty

    WingedLiberty Well-Known Member

    DavidSetreeRareCoins ... Great minds!

    I wonder if a better way to represent a coins grade would be a "bar chart" for each coin with a statistical probability of various grade numbers.

    Say for my 1975-S

    PR64 = 10%
    PR65 = 30%
    PR66 = 40%
    PR67 = 20%

    BN = 90%
    RB = 10%
    RD = 0%

    So the most likely CORRECT grade for my 1975-S would be PR66BN. And would likely be the most COMMONLY returned grade on that coin if I cracked it out and submitted it raw say 20 times.

    [​IMG]

    However you would need to be a millionaire and bored to tears to do all that submitting and statistical probability calculating. So most people are happy with just a single instantaneous opinion. Most collectors just don't CARE that much (however 1 point can make a huge difference in price for certain dates/mints -- so there is that financial aspect).
     
    spenser and bear32211 like this.
  7. rrdenarius

    rrdenarius non omnibus dormio Supporter

    Or, you could collect ancient coins where the good stuff is cracked out of slabs and the coins are handled. Seems to me that the process of encasing, cracking out and re-encasing could reduce a coin's grade - oops.
     
    Jwt708 likes this.
  8. chuck123

    chuck123 Active Member

    In the same vein, I have had both NGC and PCGS coins I have cracked and sent to ANACS and have come back higher, a F to VF, one came back with FB designation and one MS60 to MS63. I was just checking because of all the controversy that has come up on the forums and on eBay, and coin publications for years, except for the VF, I wanted to sell it. I did get more money for it. The other two are still in my collection. I did send more than that to be truthful. Some came back less(2) but the majority came back the same. I sent a total of 15 coins. It has been about a year ago and things might have changed but I don't think so. All three companies are very good in my opinion. I guess it is still the choice of the owner of the coins.
     
  9. spenser

    spenser Active Member

    I've personally crossed over PCI to NGC and have got a higher grade. It's all about money.
     
    Tater likes this.
  10. Burton Strauss III

    Burton Strauss III Brother can you spare a trime? Supporter

     
  11. Burton Strauss III

    Burton Strauss III Brother can you spare a trime? Supporter

    No way... statistics is about large #a. Trying to. a single datum is bogus.
     
    Coinchemistry 2012 and JPeace$ like this.
  12. Vespadoctor1

    Vespadoctor1 Member

    x
     
    Last edited: Nov 22, 2015
  13. Vespadoctor1

    Vespadoctor1 Member

    After all the different opinions, if you really think that ANACs is better than the others, would you send your ANACs graded MS or PF 70 to the other graders to get them in a different holder that sells better? You are probably not going to take the risk because the other grading companies might grade tougher and they might grade lower. If I owned NGC, they would grade to such strict standards that they would run the other companies out of business. The standards for each coin would be published so you could compare your grade to theirs.
     
    bear32211 likes this.
  14. tommyc03

    tommyc03 Senior Member

    Can anyone say Volkswagon!
     
  15. coinzip

    coinzip Well-Known Member

    Buy the coin, not the opinion.
     
  16. chuck123

    chuck123 Active Member

    I agree whole hardely
     
  17. Santinidollar

    Santinidollar Supporter! Supporter

    Amen
     
  18. swamp yankee

    swamp yankee Well-Known Member

    After being in America for more than 10min. you should realize it's called HYPE or "Madison ave fibs" = how stuff's sold here.
     
    Santinidollar likes this.
  19. swamp yankee

    swamp yankee Well-Known Member

    They may have been led to believe pcgs is "better" than the others?
     
  20. kaosleeroy108

    kaosleeroy108 The Mahayana Tea Shop & hobby center

    I agree that's why I learnt to grade myself so I'd know what I'm buying..
     
    PICCYR likes this.
  21. SuperDave

    SuperDave Free the Cartwheels!

    Tight grading doesn't sell, especially if you're the only one doing it.
     
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