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<p>[QUOTE="Vegas Vic, post: 1997351, member: 58810"][ATTACH=full]357375[/ATTACH] So I was surfing through eBay when I saw this. What got me was not the item but the bids.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>$600 for a "condition rarity"</p><p><br /></p><p>So let's do the math. 2411180 proof sets plus 599317 prestige for a total of 3,010,497 total proof 1c.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now look at the pcgs population. 2.1% of the total graded population is 70. Sounds low with a pop of 81. But here's the thing. Theoretical number with no preselection gives me 63,220 70's out there just waiting to be slabbed. Let's say you argue that they look at ten sets for every one submitted. Ok that still gives us 6,322 70's just waiting for their plastic. This high price is contingent on a pop of only 81. Why do people buy condition rarities for coins that are minted like this. I can understand an uncirculated coin like a Morgan where there are many millions of coins and like a small number of 69's. But this modern stuff just goes past me.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now you can tell me it is a "private" auction and just shill bids. Ok but check this out.</p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]357376[/ATTACH]</p><p><br /></p><p>These are real auction prices. You can click the links and see that this coin is actually selling for hundreds of dollars.</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway coin for the thread. With cat selfie</p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]357377[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]357378[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]357379[/ATTACH][/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Vegas Vic, post: 1997351, member: 58810"][ATTACH=full]357375[/ATTACH] So I was surfing through eBay when I saw this. What got me was not the item but the bids. $600 for a "condition rarity" So let's do the math. 2411180 proof sets plus 599317 prestige for a total of 3,010,497 total proof 1c. Now look at the pcgs population. 2.1% of the total graded population is 70. Sounds low with a pop of 81. But here's the thing. Theoretical number with no preselection gives me 63,220 70's out there just waiting to be slabbed. Let's say you argue that they look at ten sets for every one submitted. Ok that still gives us 6,322 70's just waiting for their plastic. This high price is contingent on a pop of only 81. Why do people buy condition rarities for coins that are minted like this. I can understand an uncirculated coin like a Morgan where there are many millions of coins and like a small number of 69's. But this modern stuff just goes past me. Now you can tell me it is a "private" auction and just shill bids. Ok but check this out. [ATTACH=full]357376[/ATTACH] These are real auction prices. You can click the links and see that this coin is actually selling for hundreds of dollars. Anyway coin for the thread. With cat selfie [ATTACH=full]357377[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]357378[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]357379[/ATTACH][/QUOTE]
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I just have trouble with the math.
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