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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;juris klavins, post: 4852774, member: 76693&quot;]Judging by your avatar, I&#039;m guessing you&#039;re well versed in thoroughbred horse racing and, by association, also an astute handicapper.</p><p>In my 45+ years playing the ponies, I&#039;ve embraced Mark Cramer&#039;s concept of the informed minority vs. the public consensus of &#039;experts&#039;. An “informed minority” is a public handicapper of proven skills who picks a horse that no other public handicapper within the consensus has picked - that would be your one dentist vs. the two popular expert dentists.</p><p>This idea can work when handicapping horse races, but in numismatics, the consensus of experts is usually the way to bet <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie85" alt=":smuggrin:" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p>For anyone interested in reading more about the informed minority vs. &#039;groupthink&#039;, please follow this link to Mark Cramer&#039;s article in American Turf Monthly:</p><p><a href="https://www.americanturf.com/current/automatic.cfm" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="https://www.americanturf.com/current/automatic.cfm" rel="nofollow">https://www.americanturf.com/current/automatic.cfm</a>[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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