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<p>[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 989253, member: 15309"]I think you are missing Doug's point entirely. He is simply stating that the concept of conditional rarities is not new. It has always been applied to classic coinage and now it is being applied to modern coinage. His other point is that conditional rarities will drive much higher prices than coins that just have low mintages. I think that everyone needs to remember that coin collectors come from every financial background. It is widely accepted in numismatics that you buy the best quality coin that you can afford. There are many collectors who basically have no limit to their available funds and can and will pay top dollar for the very best quality coins they can find.</p><p><br /></p><p>For an example of a traditional conditional rarity, let's look at Peace Dollars. The 1928 Peace Dollar is widely considered the key date of the series whereas the 1928-S has a much more typical mintage for the later dates of the series.</p><p><br /></p><p>1928 Peace Dollar: Mintage (360,649)</p><p>1928-S Peace Dollar: Mintage (1,632,000)</p><p><br /></p><p>In XF40, the 1928 Peace Dollar drives a price of $300 compared to $30 for that of the 1928-S. But move up to MS65 and the situation changes drastically. In MS65, the 1928 Peace Dollar has a population of (316/13) and a price tag of $3,150 (Numismedia Wholesale). Compare that to the 1928-S Peace Dollar which boasts a population of (85/2) and a price tag over $15K.</p><p><br /></p><p>The price is driven by the number of examples extant in that condition. Now I will grant you that you are much more likely to find some of these high grade coins not yet certified for many modern coins, but don't think that you are going to find hundreds or thousands of MS68 business strike coins for any series, date, or mintmark. It simply isn't going to happen and those coins are always going to be conditional rarities.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Lehigh96, post: 989253, member: 15309"]I think you are missing Doug's point entirely. He is simply stating that the concept of conditional rarities is not new. It has always been applied to classic coinage and now it is being applied to modern coinage. His other point is that conditional rarities will drive much higher prices than coins that just have low mintages. I think that everyone needs to remember that coin collectors come from every financial background. It is widely accepted in numismatics that you buy the best quality coin that you can afford. There are many collectors who basically have no limit to their available funds and can and will pay top dollar for the very best quality coins they can find. For an example of a traditional conditional rarity, let's look at Peace Dollars. The 1928 Peace Dollar is widely considered the key date of the series whereas the 1928-S has a much more typical mintage for the later dates of the series. 1928 Peace Dollar: Mintage (360,649) 1928-S Peace Dollar: Mintage (1,632,000) In XF40, the 1928 Peace Dollar drives a price of $300 compared to $30 for that of the 1928-S. But move up to MS65 and the situation changes drastically. In MS65, the 1928 Peace Dollar has a population of (316/13) and a price tag of $3,150 (Numismedia Wholesale). Compare that to the 1928-S Peace Dollar which boasts a population of (85/2) and a price tag over $15K. The price is driven by the number of examples extant in that condition. Now I will grant you that you are much more likely to find some of these high grade coins not yet certified for many modern coins, but don't think that you are going to find hundreds or thousands of MS68 business strike coins for any series, date, or mintmark. It simply isn't going to happen and those coins are always going to be conditional rarities.[/QUOTE]
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