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<p>[QUOTE="bernard55, post: 24484521, member: 114733"]When I purchase an ancient coin, I typically check with <a href="https://www.coinarchives.com/" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="https://www.coinarchives.com/" rel="nofollow">coinarchives</a> to spot-check the market value history. However, I'm wondering how those that are in the business of selling ancient coins create their market price.</p><p><br /></p><p>I've not found any work published on establishing a market value for an ancient coin. If you have anything, please post it. As a brainstorm in trying to figure it out myself, I've started down this rabbit hole:</p><p><br /></p><p>From what I've perceived, the market value of an ancient coin depends on '<u>demand</u>' + '<u>the intrinsic value of the metal</u>', but what drives demand? </p><p><br /></p><p>An obvious assumption would be that demand is based on a combination of the coin's rarity, historical significance, and condition. Is there anything else (beyond--I just want it...)?</p><p><br /></p><p>If you agree, then would a formula such as the following work to categorize the asset's market value? If not, please chime in...</p><blockquote><blockquote><blockquote><blockquote><blockquote><p><p style="text-align: center"></p><p><b>Value = M + (R + HS) * C</b></p></blockquote></blockquote></blockquote></blockquote></blockquote><p> <ul> <li><b>M</b> = The intrinsic value of the metal</li> <li><b>R</b> = a value related to the rarity</li> <li><b>HS</b> = a value related to the historical significance</li> <li><b>C</b> = a factor related to the condition of the coin</li> </ul><p>The numbers below in yellow are placeholders, but the question is--could something similar to this model work to give novice collectors clarity for how much they should be spending on a coin?</p><p><br /></p><p style="text-align: center">[ATTACH=full]1549693[/ATTACH]</p><p><br /></p><p>If the model works, I'll start identifying the data to try and find value market rates for each item in yellow.</p><p><br /></p><p>let me know what you think...[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="bernard55, post: 24484521, member: 114733"]When I purchase an ancient coin, I typically check with [URL='https://www.coinarchives.com/']coinarchives[/URL] to spot-check the market value history. However, I'm wondering how those that are in the business of selling ancient coins create their market price. I've not found any work published on establishing a market value for an ancient coin. If you have anything, please post it. As a brainstorm in trying to figure it out myself, I've started down this rabbit hole: From what I've perceived, the market value of an ancient coin depends on '[U]demand[/U]' + '[U]the intrinsic value of the metal[/U]', but what drives demand? An obvious assumption would be that demand is based on a combination of the coin's rarity, historical significance, and condition. Is there anything else (beyond--I just want it...)? If you agree, then would a formula such as the following work to categorize the asset's market value? If not, please chime in... [INDENT][INDENT][INDENT][INDENT][INDENT][CENTER][B][/B][/CENTER] [B]Value = M + (R + HS) * C[/B][/INDENT][/INDENT][/INDENT][/INDENT][/INDENT] [LIST] [*][B]M[/B] = The intrinsic value of the metal [*][B]R[/B] = a value related to the rarity [*][B]HS[/B] = a value related to the historical significance [*][B]C[/B] = a factor related to the condition of the coin [/LIST] The numbers below in yellow are placeholders, but the question is--could something similar to this model work to give novice collectors clarity for how much they should be spending on a coin? [CENTER][ATTACH=full]1549693[/ATTACH][/CENTER] If the model works, I'll start identifying the data to try and find value market rates for each item in yellow. let me know what you think...[/QUOTE]
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