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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;cladking, post: 3123539, member: 68&quot;]I know it seems like they would last as long but money&#039;s only value is what people believe it to be worth.&nbsp; This is simply the nature of all money and always will be.&nbsp; Circulation of money is a complex interplay of a random walk and the aggregate beliefs of those who use it.&nbsp; </p><p><br /></p><p>People believe pennies have no value so they are dropped and left.&nbsp; They are thrown in the trash. They are allowed to accumulate by the bucketsful in the home.&nbsp; Meanwhile there is the passage of time where houses burn down or flood and the pennies in circulation get dropped&nbsp; behind car seats.&nbsp; When the belief is that something has no value it is far more likely to end up where it is lost or destroyed. </p><p><br /></p><p>While collectors still pull wheaties out of circulation and put them in safer places this isn&#039;t happening with memorials.&nbsp; Wheaties barely circulate at all because they are continually being separated out and then sitting for years.&nbsp; Memorials are being whittled away. </p><p><br /></p><p>Of course the odds of memorials literally becoming scarcer than wheats is improbable because such trends can&#039;t last forever.&nbsp;&nbsp; Eventually some semblance&nbsp; of sanity will appear and pennies will be withdrawn.&nbsp; Most people won&#039;t bother to return their cents because they are worthless in any quantity so many memorials will survive.&nbsp; But there are still going to be a lot of specific dates that are tough because they are already tough. Even the survivors will continue to decrease in number at about 1% annually (higher initially) and the zincs will continue to rot away. </p><p><br /></p><p>I believe the real key to the series will prove to be the 1984.&nbsp; This will be common in commercial &quot;unc&quot; but nice attractive specimens with good surfaces will be very scarce.&nbsp; Several other dates like the 1968 are already tough as well.&nbsp;&nbsp; People don&#039;t know because they are told the high mintages make them all common.&nbsp; </p><p><br /></p><p>Every year about ten billion memorials are lost and another fifty million wheaties are lost.&nbsp; This 200 to 1 ratio is&nbsp; going to increase before it decreases.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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