Holy .... NGC just took PCGS behind the woodshed!

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by C-B-D, Jan 17, 2017.

  1. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    And if that's not bad enough, then ask to explain how a coin be upgrade twice, or even 3 times - in just a few years.

    Of course the the exact same thing can be said about any grading company there is. They are all the same in that regard - NGC, PCGS, ANACS, ICG - and yes, even CAC has followed along the same path stickering coins as good for the grade when just a few it years ago it was good for the lower grade.

    The explanation is simple and blatantly obvious, and it has been since they started doing it in 2004 - loosen their grading standards and of course the coin will upgrade. And they, the TPGs, will claim the new grade is accurate. But what they won't tell you is that it is only accurate if the grade is based on the looser grading standards.
     
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  3. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    At some point in time you won't see many raw submissions of certain rarer dates or high end older coins since most will have been sent in and slabbed. The only way for the TPGs to survive will be to loosen grading standards to keep submissions coming in (at least for non-modern coins).
     
  4. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Maybe not, but it has been said, even by my some of my biggest detractors over the years, that I come pretty dang close to it. My consistency in grading has been described as being phenomenal, even by those who don't agree with my grading. But then I'm an individual, not a group of people, and one who always sticks to and uses the same set of grading standards. And has done so for almost 30 years. That is the secret to consistency.

    And I am far from being the only person who can do this.

    But let me ask you a question. How can it possibly be claimed that there is any degree of accuracy when 90%, or more, of the coins that were graded by a given TPG before 2004, are upgraded by 1, 2, or 3 grades in today's world ? And some of them upgraded more than once.
     
    imrich likes this.
  5. IBetASilverDollar

    IBetASilverDollar Well-Known Member


    In that article/post it says: "As a matter of fact many dealers deliberately buy NGC coins and cross them to PCGS at a lower grade, subsequently selling them at a profit."

    A lot here buy and sell coins, do you find that to be even remotely close to true? He's not even saying they cross to the same grade then profit, he's suggesting they cross to PCGS, get a grade lower, pay all the grading fees, and still profit.

    That whole exchange (not sure if just the two articles or if there was more after) comes across as a "my dad can beat up your dad" schoolyard argument.
     
  6. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Well, yeah. But then that was the entire point to begin with. You see, it always has been a my dad can beat up your dad thing.

    It helps if you realize and understand that NGC was created, founded, 1 year after PCGS was founded, by people who worked at and helped found PCGS - but left to create NGC.

    Ever since the day it started the 2 companies have been "at" each other with my dad can beat up your dad. That is the entire marketing scheme for both companies, and always has been !
     
    IBetASilverDollar likes this.
  7. okbustchaser

    okbustchaser I may be old but I still appreciate a pretty bust Supporter

    Easily. The coins were properly graded prior to 2004 by the standards in use at that time. They were graded properly again a point (or more) higher when resubmitted according to the grading standards in place today.

    Floating grading standards have nothing to do with accuracy as long as they are properly applied at the time that the coins are graded.
     
    Insider likes this.
  8. IBetASilverDollar

    IBetASilverDollar Well-Known Member

    Both companies would appear to be flourishing too (consistent 20+ day turnarounds would suggest demand is pretty high), I guess it's too much to ask to just leave well enough alone though.

    I knew NGC came right after PCGS, had no clue it was former PCGS employees who started it. I say good for them, they realized the opportunity and jumped at it.
     
  9. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    But how can they even be called "standards" if they are constantly changing ? Especially given that there is no notification, nor is there ever an admission, that any change ever occurred ?

    In point of fact there are repeated denials by the TPGs that there ever was any change.

    You see, if they ever publicly admitted that they were loosening grading standards then everything would go right out the window.
     
  10. okbustchaser

    okbustchaser I may be old but I still appreciate a pretty bust Supporter

    The standards change because TPGs don't grade coins; they price them based on where they fall compared to other coins from the same date/mm they have seen.

    In other words, if a coin comes in today which is obviously worth more than the MS-65 that they saw last week then it MUST be a 66. I don't like it...you don't like it...but the large dealers (who are their best customers) do like it.
     
    micbraun and RonSanderson like this.
  11. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    Both companies are guilty of grade inflation , though I used to prefer PCGS , now I can grade well enough to buy the coin not the slab . I brought out some coins I haven't looked at in awhile and it seems a lot of the newer blue white PCGS coins are over graded . I really go over any PCGS coins in the newer holders , but in reality everyone should look at slabbed coins like they were raw ! Buy the coin not the holder !!!
     
  12. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    I agree some people have better rates than others and some can have very good rates with the best probably around 90-95% but that still means there will be differences on some. Humans are just incapable of perfection at anything. If we took 200 coins and had someone grade them, then mixed them in with several sound coins over a couple months I can guarantee not all 200 will have the exact same grades. Even if we just held them back for two years than had the same person do it again some would change especially with MS coins mixed in the group.

    It's not even a knock on anyone, it is just the nature of human driven processes especially one that is subjective like grading and not an exact science. Too often we treat grading like a science with right and wrong answers when it's not unless someone is just way off in left field with their grades.

    It would be impossible for me to answer that question given that I think the 90% number is a gross exaggeration. Over 10 percent of pre 2004 PCGS and NGC slabs still exist as well. The population reports aren't evidence either as far to many coins reside in both or multiple times to be anything more than a general reference.

    Only the internet makes the crackout game seem like a given, it's much harder to be successful consistency than forums make it sound.
     
  13. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    Yes it does happen far more than people realize. A lot of Newman coins were crossed from NGC to PCGS after that auction. The coin from this thread (which is stunning) https://www.cointalk.com/threads/forget-the-10-million-coin.294140/ was initially in an NGC holder.

    A likely reason for NGCs initial attack was that they are painfully aware they are losing a not insignificant percentage of their best coins to PCGS. There was a coin world article from a dealer shortly after the PCGS response that briefly mentioned how many times he had seen coins being crossed from NGC to them. If I can ever find it I'll link it
     
  14. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Ya think ?

    I'll tell what is evidence - the coins themselves. All you have to do is look at them as it is as plain as day that what used to be AU in now MS, and up to 64 in some cases. What used to be a 61, is now a 63, a 64 is now a 65 or 66, etc etc etc. And yes, even in the circ grades.

    And if you can't remember what the coins used to look like just go to some of the auction house web sites and search the older auction archives, look at the pictures of the coins what they were graded then. Then look at the pictures of the coins graded today, compare an old 63 to a new 63, And old 65 to a new 65, and so on and so on.

    You've only been a member here for a little over a year. But this discussion is as old as the forum itself. And I have saying the same thing for years, quoting sources, articles written by well know dealers, professional graders, and some of the most knowledgeable people there are in numismatics - who all agree with me. You also might want to ask some of the members of this forum for many, if not most, used to disagree with me just like you do. But over the years they have come to the realization that I was right all along and today they do agree with me for they see it themselves.

    Lastly, are you aware that major dealers and auction houses have employees whose sole job is to go to coin shows, attend auctions, visit dealer shops, and keep an eye on internet sales, just so they can pick out the candidate coins for upgrading ? And they are extremely successful and get paid very high salaries.

    And if the TPGs had not loosened grading standards, several times, how do you think that could be possible ?

    But you go right on believing what you want to believe. And just in case you get thirsty, this might come in handy - Kool-AidMan.jpg
     
    wxcoin likes this.
  15. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    You just gave koolaid a bad name:)
     
  16. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    You mean the pictures that basically hid everything back then? Most of their pictures could still use some work today but they are light years ahead of where they were back then in terms of accuracy. You could re-image all of those coins from then as they are today and more flaws will be apparent. Coins aren't definitely graded by pictures anyway

    Forum length has nothing to do with anything.

    I am very well aware of it. Are you aware of why they make the big bucks?
    Because of how hard their job is. Your descriptions make it sound like an idiot can blindly pick up pre 2004 slab and it will work. If anyone doesn't believe me that the upgrade rate has been no where near what you are stating they are free to find out for themselves the hard way.

    The only koolaid happening would be the anti TPG koolaid with insane upgrade statements like over 90 percent.
     
    wxcoin likes this.
  17. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Ahhhhh - brings back memories of the good old days :rolleyes:

    And here I was hoping that they were over with :)
     
    Kentucky likes this.
  18. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    So your premise is that coins should be definitely graded by photographs while ignoring the massive technological advances since that really was not a response?
     
  19. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    The point is that you are using all of the same arguments that have been used for the past 12-13 years, over and over and over again. The horse is not only dead, it has been beaten and pounded until there is nothing left but dust.

    And if you think that one can't look at a picture of a coin that has been recently graded 65, and readily, easily, see the difference between that and one that was graded 65 fifteen years ago then one of two things is true. Scratch that, one of three things is true. Either you need glasses, you don't look at enough coins, or you just flat out refuse to believe what is, and has been for some time, staring you in the face.

    I suspect it is the latter.
     
  20. baseball21

    baseball21 Well-Known Member

    If you think you can look at a picture and say 100 percent what it's grade is you don't understand modern technology. Is your premise that a certain ebay sellers pics that have been subjects of many treads are spot on? If they aren't then you have to admit that photos can't be definitive.

    Then of course there was the MS 66 segs gold coin you gave your Doug sticker to that was regraded a 64 when resubmitted.

    There is no shame in not understanding technology advances and why a lot of things look they way they do from how much digital processing has advanced. Basing your 90 percent numbers off internet pictures without understanding digital advances though is reckless. People are going to read that and think you are infallible and waste a lot of money because you are giving them the impression upgrades are automatic.
     
  21. Stork

    Stork I deliver

    The dead horse is now glue. :D
     
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