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<p>[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 7844405, member: 39084"]"Blame" is a mischaracterization of my comment regarding Heritage and NGC. I'm theorizing about the reasons for the rapid rise of prices -- far more rapidly than inflation -- for otherwise common ancient coins.</p><p><br /></p><p>No one would disagree that people should choose how to spend their discretionary funds in whatever manner they wish. Inflation alone doesn't appear to explain the rise in prices for the (e.g.) Julius Caesar elephant denarius, though.</p><p><br /></p><p>Based on your graph about inflation, my own personal observation is this: because net household worth has risen significantly in recent years, people are spending their inflated net worth in uneducated ways on "collectible" ancient coins that have been commodotized by the meaningless application of modern coin grading and slabbing to ancient coins. </p><p><br /></p><p>If my observation is accurate, the obvious conclusion is that these individuals are not collectors in normal definition of the word, but rather speculators or "investors" who wouldn't otherwise have purchased ancient coins without the slab and NGC grade. They have been misled into believing that the slab and accompanying grade are valuable and a substitute for actual research and knowledge about the coins. Sadly, this seems to apply equally to highly priced ancient coins as well. The most information they'll ever know about their coins is that which is printed on NGC's label.</p><p><br /></p><p>Maybe this is just a bubble (my hope) but more ominously maybe it's a trend and collectors who are truly interested in ancient coins for their beauty, history, and artistry will eventually become marginalized by the artificially inflated prices.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 7844405, member: 39084"]"Blame" is a mischaracterization of my comment regarding Heritage and NGC. I'm theorizing about the reasons for the rapid rise of prices -- far more rapidly than inflation -- for otherwise common ancient coins. No one would disagree that people should choose how to spend their discretionary funds in whatever manner they wish. Inflation alone doesn't appear to explain the rise in prices for the (e.g.) Julius Caesar elephant denarius, though. Based on your graph about inflation, my own personal observation is this: because net household worth has risen significantly in recent years, people are spending their inflated net worth in uneducated ways on "collectible" ancient coins that have been commodotized by the meaningless application of modern coin grading and slabbing to ancient coins. If my observation is accurate, the obvious conclusion is that these individuals are not collectors in normal definition of the word, but rather speculators or "investors" who wouldn't otherwise have purchased ancient coins without the slab and NGC grade. They have been misled into believing that the slab and accompanying grade are valuable and a substitute for actual research and knowledge about the coins. Sadly, this seems to apply equally to highly priced ancient coins as well. The most information they'll ever know about their coins is that which is printed on NGC's label. Maybe this is just a bubble (my hope) but more ominously maybe it's a trend and collectors who are truly interested in ancient coins for their beauty, history, and artistry will eventually become marginalized by the artificially inflated prices.[/QUOTE]
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