Have NGC Standards been improving? PCGS vs. NGC standards

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by JCB1983, Jan 8, 2012.

  1. Owle

    Owle Junior Member

    NGC is way too fussy when it comes to grading coins with minor problems. I say this as both an NGC and a PCGS authorized dealer. Read Maurice Rosen's recent numismatic advisory with his crystal ball report from the top leading dealers in the country. There was a concensus on a number of issues. One of them was that NGC is details grading way too many coins.
     
  2. Avatar

    Guest User Guest



    to hide this ad.
  3. mikenoodle

    mikenoodle The Village Idiot Supporter

    not to play "devil's advocate" and to be fair, I have not read Mr. Rosen's advisory, but to me it makes more sense that more and more coins are being details graded because:

    1) the number of coins now graded is inching closer and closer to 100% of all coins and as such more of the "problem coins" are now being submitted because there are fewer "problem-free" coins left.

    2) the detection of problem coins is becoming more precise and the TPGs ability to detect such coins is becoming sharper.

    3) more novices are submitting coins on their own and many of these should be and are graded as the problem coins that they are.

    Grading standards will change slightly over time and this has proven true over the lifespan of PCGS and NGC, but I don't think that TPGs would consciously change their view of what constitutes a problem coin. I think it is more of a product of the above factors than anything else. The means of detecting things like coin doctoring become clearer as the TPG gets more of a handle on what constitutes a doctored coin. The same can be said for a host of other issues including artificial toning.

    My worry will be much greater when NGC stops grading problem coins as problem coins and when MS-70 coins seemingly proliferate. The loosening of standards is bad for the TPG and the collecting public as well. Anything that makes judging more critical is better IMHO.
     
  4. rascal

    rascal Well-Known Member

    About 99% of people can not understand that about all ot the top four grading companies are very close to being the same . What most people can not understand is that which ever worker at these companys grades your coin determines how it will be graded or authenticated. there is no way that just one man does the grading of millions of coins each month,there are hundreds of workers involved. some of these workers don't appear to know much at all about coins so why should we pay more for a coin that one of thems says is MS66 over one that is graded like say MS64. sometimes the MS64 will be better than the MS66. I suppose all we get extra is the numbers on the slab and this is so childish just so someone can say my toy is better than your toy.. just last night someone showed a image of a NGC slabbed nickel on the forum and some kid at NGC had it labeled as struck on defective clad planchet. Imagine that ..... a grader that does not even know our nickels are not clad coins. All of the four best grading services appears to be hiring cheap labor . another thing I want to say is that when a rich person submits their coins the grading companys usually gives their coins a much higher grade IMO . we need to just buy some coin slabs to protect our coins and stop giving our cash away to the goof offs for nothing.
     
  5. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    rascal -

    Sorry, but you are mistaken about most of what you said. To begin with 3 graders and a finalizer look at every coin graded by NGC. And they all 4 have to agree on that grade. At PCGS there 2 graders and a finalizer who grade every coin, and they too have to agree on the grade.

    So there is no individual at either company that is having any kind of an impact at all the grades being assigned.

    Secondly they are not hiring cheap labor. Graders at NGC and PCGS start at 6 figures and go up from there. Some of them make $250k a year, or more. Not exactly what you call cheap labor.

    The slab label you mentioned has nothing to do with the graders. The slab labels are made and placed in the slab much lower level employees. Yes they made a mistake, but when you're talking about over 5,000 slab labels being inserted each and every work day, yeah sure you're gonna have a few mistakes.

    And last but not least, none of the graders know who submits any of the coins. The idea of favoritism is not even possible.


    And there is no top 4, there is only a top 2. The very concept of the top 4 disappeared several years ago.
     
  6. Leadfoot

    Leadfoot there is no spoon

    I have seen no changing standards within the coins I collect (type and large cents).
     
  7. JCB1983

    JCB1983 Learning

  8. cpm9ball

    cpm9ball CANNOT RE-MEMBER

    Doug, thank you for setting the record straight. It would really bother me if comments like that went unchallenged because we have so many newcomers to the hobby here. I'd hate to see them misled.

    Chris
     
  9. The_Cave_Troll

    The_Cave_Troll The Coin Troll

    Disagree
     
  10. JCB1983

    JCB1983 Learning

    I don't know GG. As a red shirt I was PCGS, but lately I have been drifting NGC on some series (such as the Franklin).
     
  11. JCB1983

    JCB1983 Learning

    I do not understand the PCGS grading standard when it comes to FBL. Earlier today I was looking intently at an MS Franklin labeled FBL by PCGS that was clearly not FBL material. Full Bell Lines should be just that.
     
  12. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    There's a pretty simple reason and explanation. But to recognize it, and understand it, you have to have seen it happen. In a nutshell, the TPGs give their customers what they want.

    Now I don't mean that they just hand out higher than justified grades or play favorites when I say that. Far from it, that they never do. But what the TPGs (and this goes for NGC too) will do is to change their policies on things if that is what their customers want.

    You see, there was time when the TPGs did not use the special designations at all. Just like there was a time when the TPGs would not slab problem coins. Just like when Full Steps really meant Full Steps - all 6 of them. Or when NGC would not slab any coin minted after 1964. Or when PCGS would not assign the 70 grade. Or when PCGS would not assign any attribution not found in the Red Book.

    There is a very long list of these things ! And all of them have been changed or instituted because the TPG customers wanted it that way.

    And yet people choose to believe that the TPGs will not, have not changed their grading standards :rolleyes:
     
  13. Owle

    Owle Junior Member

    "And yet people choose to believe that the TPGs will not, have not changed their grading standards" :rolleyes:


    Take this coin in an old PCGS holder that I sold at auction last night: http://www.greatcollections.com/Coin/33385/1907-Liberty-Eagle-PCGS-AU-58-OGH-2nd-Gen

    Would it have been worth cracking the coin out and resubmitting, hoping for an MS63 instead of the actual OH AU58? Possibly. Clearly the grading services modify their grades in time. What used to be seen as rub, cabinet friction, etc., gets forgiven and the coin ends up in an MS holder because its merits out weigh the tiny problem.

    With NGC, they also had similarly tight grading standards where they would not MS a coin that had a little wear or friction, the definition of MS has evolved as understanding of what constitutes an impediment to an MS grade has matured. When gold was trading in the $300s there was less of a stake between the various higher grades. Looking at population figures also helps to see shifts in standards, a statistical analysis at five year intervals from the inception of the TPGs would give concrete backing to the idea of evolving standards.
     
  14. JCB1983

    JCB1983 Learning

    That would be an interesting experiment Owle. I suppose if the owner instantly re-cracked the slab and submitted it back to PCGS we could find out the answer. Would this coin sell at a higher price due to a slightly higher grade? Sometimes it seems that people pay a higher premium just because it is OGH slabbed. Sure wish I were an expert grader.
     
  15. Merc Crazy

    Merc Crazy Bumbling numismatic fool

    Whoa, I knew graders made money, but 6 figures? Jeeze, I need to get to grading more coins.
     
  16. JCB1983

    JCB1983 Learning

    LOL Merc, I already looked into it. Don Willis emailed me saying: " I think you should attend the ANA sessions before attempting to get a job at PCGS as a grader." An NGC guy said "I don't believe that finding a few DDR Franklins qualifies you for the position of a grader." I said "but sir, if carpo-tunnel is a job requirment, I have that box checked." 300,000 more coins and I will make another attempt.
     
  17. Merc Crazy

    Merc Crazy Bumbling numismatic fool

    I know a lot of graders were dealers beforehand, so I'd expect 20+ years of experience with all major US coin types is kind of a prerequisite.
     
  18. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    I have claimed for many years that NGC and PCGS grading standards changed drastically in 2004. Most people tell me I'm crazy or that I am imagining things, that they have not changed their standard at all.

    But let me give some examples of actual population numbers for specific series, in specific years. These numbers are a little revealing about the difference between NGC and PCGS too.

    Lincoln Memorial Cents all dates and mints -

    2003 pops

    NGC - had 16 that were graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70.
    - had 7,875 that were graded PF69 DCAM. And 607 that were graded PF70 DCAM.

    PCGS - had 99 graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70.
    - had 10,092 graded PF69 DCAM. And 455 that were graded PF70 DCAM.


    April 2005 pops

    NGC - had 45 graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70.
    - had 20,501 graded PF69 DCAM. And 1,581 graded PF70 DCAM.

    PCGS - had 671 graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70.
    - had 45,242 graded PF69 DCAM. And 873 graded PF70 DCAM.


    Jefferson nickel (all post war dates)

    2003 pops

    NGC - had 0 graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70
    - had 8,740 graded PF69. And 502 graded PF70.

    PCGS - had 700 graded MS69. And 72 graded MS70.
    - had 8,899 graded PF69. And 223 graded PF70.


    April 2005 pops

    NGC - had 0 graded MS69. And 0 graded MS70.
    - had 26,213 graded PF69. And 2,187 graded PF70.

    PCGS - had 1,077 graded MS69. And 79 graded MS70.
    - had 67,070 graded PF69. And 928 graded PF70.


    Now, am I the only person in the world who sees a, rather huge, increase in the number of 69 and 70 graded coins in just 2 years ?

    Still think they didn't change the grading standards in 2004 ?

    And it is worth noting that a similar huge increase in pop numbers is also there for Roosevelt dimes, Washington quarters, and Kennedy half dollars. In other words, the increase in pop numbers was across the board, for those coins.

    And - these numbers were also published in Coin World. So they are documented, I did not just make them up.

    I also have documented population numbers from around the same time (2003) on a few other series of coins, in various grades. And a check of those numbers also shows a huge increase in the higher grades.

    My imagination ? I don't think so ;)
     
  19. bigjpst

    bigjpst Well-Known Member

    I was in a counterfeit detection seminar with Ron Guth from PCGS, and asked how someone would get a job as a grader. He basically said that if you have some proof of references or credentials they have it set in there system so that you can sit in and grade for a shift. Your grades must be consistent with the other graders and finalizer to qualify for the position. Sitting in a dark room staring at thousands of coins a day may sound like a great job, but burnout is pretty common I'm sure.
     
  20. 19Lyds

    19Lyds Member of the United States of Confusion

    I do not think its your imagination but to get a clearer picture you really should include the undergrades.

    IF the undergrades increased in proportion to the PR69DCAM/PF70DCAM then its simply a matter of more submission due to relative sales prices and submission privileges. By that I mean that in 2002, I could not submit coins for grading but in 2003 I could. Better yet, when did PCGS and NGC create the Collector's Club level for non-Dealers to submit coins for grading?

    Better yet, how many were submitted for grading during the explosion years?

    As an IKE collector/seller, I would always point out that the "total" number of 1972 Type 2 coins graded by PCGS was well under 1,000 coins to address relative rarity. Since then the populations have almost doubled meaning that more folks have been submitting them.

    Maybe, just maybe, the increase in PR69DCAM and PR70DCAM populations is more closely related to the "volume" of submissions and not necessarily a lessoning of grading standards?
     
  21. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    19Lyds -

    First of all we are comparing all coins graded and slabbed from 1986 (PCGS) and 1987 (NGC) until the end of 2003 - with all coins graded from the start of 2004 until March of 2005 which is when the numbers were assembled. So we are comparing 16 years worth of graded coins to 13 months worth of graded coins. And then looking at how the populations of the 69 and 70 graded coins increased in that 13 month period of time.

    Note - I say 13 months because the pop numbers were gathered in March of 2005. And since it takes basically 2 months for coins to go through the grading system at NGC and PCGS, the only grades that would be included in the pop numbers would be those assigned by the end of Jan 2005 - or 13 months.

    As for the number of submissions, they have been basically the same for about 10 years now, back to 2002 say. And probably further back than that. But for the sake of argument let's say the submissions increased in 2004. But to even try to imagine that the submissions increased enough in that 1 year period of time to change the pop numbers as much as they changed, that's totally unbelievable. It's almost ludicrous.
     
Draft saved Draft deleted

Share This Page