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Guilty - A Newb Bidding Lesson
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<p>[QUOTE="Publius2, post: 8276044, member: 105571"]For most of us, and for most of the coins we would like to obtain, it isn't a good financial strategy to bid a price that is significantly greater than we think the coin is worth. I understand that sometimes we want what we want pretty much regardless of the price. But for most of the people and most of the time, we don't want to pay a lot more than what most other people would pay.</p><p><br /></p><p>For example, if you think the FMV of the coin is $1000, but you put in a bid for $3000, the odds are you're going to win a significant fraction of those auctions. But you definitely run the risk of some of those wins having an underbidder who is just as motivated as you thus driving your cost way up. And if there's the slightest possibility of a shill, this strategy can have very uncomfortable consequences.</p><p><br /></p><p>Like I said, if it's something you've just got to have, then bid high whether early or late as you think best. But I prefer to see how auctions are going before I make a commitment. And frankly, there are very few coins that are affordable to me that cannot be obtained elsewhere if this specimen gets away.</p><p><br /></p><p>That said, I let a nice coin I was going to bid on get away last night because my wife wanted me to watch a show with her so I missed watching the last few minutes of the auction and putting a bid in. Possibly might have picked that very nice coin up for a decent but fair price. But there'll be another one that comes along.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Publius2, post: 8276044, member: 105571"]For most of us, and for most of the coins we would like to obtain, it isn't a good financial strategy to bid a price that is significantly greater than we think the coin is worth. I understand that sometimes we want what we want pretty much regardless of the price. But for most of the people and most of the time, we don't want to pay a lot more than what most other people would pay. For example, if you think the FMV of the coin is $1000, but you put in a bid for $3000, the odds are you're going to win a significant fraction of those auctions. But you definitely run the risk of some of those wins having an underbidder who is just as motivated as you thus driving your cost way up. And if there's the slightest possibility of a shill, this strategy can have very uncomfortable consequences. Like I said, if it's something you've just got to have, then bid high whether early or late as you think best. But I prefer to see how auctions are going before I make a commitment. And frankly, there are very few coins that are affordable to me that cannot be obtained elsewhere if this specimen gets away. That said, I let a nice coin I was going to bid on get away last night because my wife wanted me to watch a show with her so I missed watching the last few minutes of the auction and putting a bid in. Possibly might have picked that very nice coin up for a decent but fair price. But there'll be another one that comes along.[/QUOTE]
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Guilty - A Newb Bidding Lesson
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