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<p>[QUOTE="princeofwaldo, post: 1591873, member: 24091"]All of that assumes there is some magical all-knowing valuation on items that is not being realized or is being over-realized at any given moment. Guess it comes down to the old adage, do markets make opinions or do opinions make markets? I will go with the former on that. Never the less, markets do behave in a predicable way. Prices always move in a generalized trend within a given venue, they are not totally random. There are aberrations, and a lot of that can be explained if examined closely. ie a seller in China with an auction closing at 4:00AM on a Tuesday with a feedback profile that is lousy, will, in most instances, not realize the same price for the exact same coin as someone closing an auction at 9:00 PM on a Sunday night, selling from the US and with a 100% feedback score. So, you can say that reputation plays into it. But that is about it. Do agree with you on the BIN and other noise on the venue, which taken as a whole make eBay less efficient than it once was. As for being deluded about the value of a coin crashing from $40 to $8 it pays to remember Keynes observation that markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Which serves as a cautionary tale or warning to anyone tempted to buy low and sell high in quanity. But when there are obvious price differentials between venues, to not capitalize on them is a missed opportunity regardless of opinions as to what a coin is really worth. It's worth what it is worth in that venue and that is enough information to make decisions on.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="princeofwaldo, post: 1591873, member: 24091"]All of that assumes there is some magical all-knowing valuation on items that is not being realized or is being over-realized at any given moment. Guess it comes down to the old adage, do markets make opinions or do opinions make markets? I will go with the former on that. Never the less, markets do behave in a predicable way. Prices always move in a generalized trend within a given venue, they are not totally random. There are aberrations, and a lot of that can be explained if examined closely. ie a seller in China with an auction closing at 4:00AM on a Tuesday with a feedback profile that is lousy, will, in most instances, not realize the same price for the exact same coin as someone closing an auction at 9:00 PM on a Sunday night, selling from the US and with a 100% feedback score. So, you can say that reputation plays into it. But that is about it. Do agree with you on the BIN and other noise on the venue, which taken as a whole make eBay less efficient than it once was. As for being deluded about the value of a coin crashing from $40 to $8 it pays to remember Keynes observation that markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Which serves as a cautionary tale or warning to anyone tempted to buy low and sell high in quanity. But when there are obvious price differentials between venues, to not capitalize on them is a missed opportunity regardless of opinions as to what a coin is really worth. It's worth what it is worth in that venue and that is enough information to make decisions on.[/QUOTE]
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