Guess the Mintage of the 2012 San Francisco Two Coin Proof Set

With only ONE MONTH of sales and NO LIMITS what will be the FINAL mintage ???


I'm guessing........1,021,318 sets.................

 

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I'll go with about the mintage of standard proofs the last few years. 750k-800k.

 

250k

 

300K (225K to dealers and flippers, 75K to collectors). TC

 

seems high for one month

 

I am going to go low, because there is no limit many people will figure that it will be a common item and the month will fly by and at the end of the month 114,000 will have been sold.

 

600k

 

If my guess is right, do I win one? :devil:

523,000

 

People want what they can't have. It's the thrill of the chase, not the item itself that people like. Since there is no real chase here, I'm thinking lower rather than higher.

There is nothing really new with this set other than a different mintmark. The reverse proof would be appealing to those who really like them or those who don't as yet have a reverse. I'll second Danr and TC's guesses and say 250,000-300,000.

 

If we take a look at the last 10 years of sales and figure the longer selling periods in previous years and other factors like the price of this set, inclusion of the reverse, and simply throw a dart at a board...

2001 746,398
2002 647,342
2003 747,831
2004 801,602
2005 816,663
2006 1,092,475
2006 Reverse Proof 248,875
2007 821,759
2008 700,979
2009 N/A
2010 849,861
2011* 950,000
2011 Reverse Proof* 100,000

....I'd put the 2012 numbers at about 650,000.

 

Given the time restraints i'll take a guess at 333,500~

 

Since the dealers can order a ton I'm thinking about 550k

 

379,512

 

Hello Chief ~ I think that you are on the money with mintage figures being over 1 million. At a price point of $125ish many people will load up on these sets, and why not I'm in for 4 sets. I can see somewhere down the road thse sets selling for $200 maybe more, they will be very collectable to the many silver eagle collectors out there. :hail:

 

400k

 

500k

 

I predict seven will be sold



for a real guess, how bout 529,736

 

Aw, I'm sure glad to see so many guesses under 500k. I truly hope that's the case, and I may buy an extra couple a few days before the end, if that's the case. However, I still think it'll be closer to 750k.

 

Approximently 8 million silver eagle collectors out there.

 

:hail:....What up SE ???

D-D-D-D-DANG......thats a bunch of collectors.

I wasn't going to buy any and I probably won't. If I do buy it will be a few single sets that I will keep and sell in the sealed unopened box.

I wonder who will place the largest order and for how many.

Any 100,000 set orders ??? I think its possible......

PCGS/NGC will be swamped again for most of June and July with these things...